feat(pipeline): work out each school's current Ofsted status once

int_ofsted_latest now picks each school's latest visit (report card, graded or ungraded inspection) and the overall grade still in force, dated by the inspection that awarded or confirmed it. A 'School remains Good' from an older ungraded visit is no longer carried past a newer inspection that gave no grade (audit C1). Duplicate monthly rows resolve to the newest visit, so a newer report card always wins. dim_school's columns are unchanged.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>

pipeline/transform/models/intermediate/int_ofsted_latest.sql

@@ -1,18 +1,88 @@
--- Intermediate model: Latest Ofsted inspection per URN
--- Picks the most recent inspection for each school
+-- Intermediate model: the current Ofsted status per URN
+-- One row per school: its latest visit (report card, graded or ungraded
+-- inspection) and the overall grade still in force, if any. A grade is dated
+-- by the inspection that awarded or confirmed it, never by a later visit.
+-- Rule and examples: docs/superpowers/specs/2026-10-05-ofsted-current-status-design.md
 
-with ranked as (
+with inspections as (
     select
         *,
+        -- Report cards began in Nov 2025, after the last legacy inspections,
+        -- so a school's report card is always its latest visit.
+        coalesce(
+            rc_inspection_date,
+            greatest(graded_inspection_date, ungraded_inspection_date)
+        ) as latest_visit_date
+    from {{ ref('stg_ofsted_inspections') }}
+),
+
+ranked as (
+    select
+        *,
+        -- Monthly loads can leave several rows per school. The newest visit
+        -- wins; the tie-breaks keep the choice deterministic.
         row_number() over (
             partition by urn
-            order by inspection_date desc
+            order by latest_visit_date desc,
+                     rc_inspection_date desc nulls last,
+                     graded_inspection_date desc nulls last,
+                     ungraded_inspection_date desc nulls last
         ) as rn
-    from {{ ref('stg_ofsted_inspections') }}
+    from inspections
+),
+
+latest as (
+    select
+        *,
+        case
+            when rc_inspection_date is not null then 'report_card'
+            when graded_inspection_date = latest_visit_date then 'graded'
+            else 'ungraded'
+        end as latest_visit_kind
+    from ranked
+    where rn = 1
+),
+
+graded as (
+    select
+        *,
+        -- The grade still in force. A graded inspection's own overall grade
+        -- (1-4; "Not judged" and the sentinel 9 are no grade); else an
+        -- ungraded visit's "School remains X"; else, after an ungraded visit
+        -- that names no grade, the graded inspection's grade.
+        case
+            when latest_visit_kind = 'graded' and overall_effectiveness between 1 and 4
+                then 'graded_latest'
+            when latest_visit_kind = 'ungraded' and ungraded_grade is not null
+                then 'confirmed'
+            when latest_visit_kind = 'ungraded' and overall_effectiveness between 1 and 4
+                then 'graded_earlier'
+        end as grade_case
+    from latest
 )
 
 select
     urn,
+    latest_visit_date,
+    latest_visit_kind,
+    case when latest_visit_kind = 'ungraded' then ungraded_outcome end as latest_visit_outcome,
+    case grade_case
+        when 'confirmed' then ungraded_grade
+        when 'graded_latest' then overall_effectiveness
+        when 'graded_earlier' then overall_effectiveness
+    end as current_grade,
+    case grade_case
+        when 'confirmed' then ungraded_inspection_date
+        when 'graded_latest' then graded_inspection_date
+        when 'graded_earlier' then graded_inspection_date
+    end as current_grade_date,
+    case grade_case
+        when 'confirmed' then 'confirmed'
+        when 'graded_latest' then 'graded'
+        when 'graded_earlier' then 'graded'
+    end as current_grade_basis,
+    graded_inspection_date,
+    ungraded_inspection_date,
     inspection_date,
     inspection_type,
     framework,
@@ -36,5 +106,4 @@ select
     rc_sixth_form,
     rc_inspection_date,
     report_url
-from ranked
-where rn = 1
+from graded

pipeline/transform/models/intermediate/int_ofsted_latest.yml

@@ -0,0 +1,99 @@
+version: 2
+
+unit_tests:
+  - name: graded_not_judged_has_no_grade
+    description: Rabbsfarm (102408). The 2025 inspection gave no overall grade, so the 2020 "remains Good" is not carried forward (audit C1).
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 102408, graded_inspection_date: '2025-06-17', ungraded_inspection_date: '2020-02-06', overall_effectiveness: null, ungraded_grade: 2, ungraded_outcome: 'School remains Good'}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 102408, latest_visit_date: '2025-06-17', latest_visit_kind: graded, latest_visit_outcome: null, current_grade: null, current_grade_date: null, current_grade_basis: null}
+
+  - name: graded_with_overall_grade
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 1, graded_inspection_date: '2019-06-01', overall_effectiveness: 2}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 1, latest_visit_date: '2019-06-01', latest_visit_kind: graded, current_grade: 2, current_grade_date: '2019-06-01', current_grade_basis: graded}
+
+  - name: ungraded_remains_good_confirms_the_grade
+    description: Robins Lane (104762). Graded Good 2020, "School remains Good" July 2024 — Good, dated by the confirming visit.
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 104762, graded_inspection_date: '2020-01-07', ungraded_inspection_date: '2024-07-18', overall_effectiveness: 2, ungraded_grade: 2, ungraded_outcome: 'School remains Good'}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 104762, latest_visit_date: '2024-07-18', latest_visit_kind: ungraded, latest_visit_outcome: 'School remains Good', current_grade: 2, current_grade_date: '2024-07-18', current_grade_basis: confirmed}
+
+  - name: post_2024_ungraded_keeps_graded_grade_with_its_own_date
+    description: Washwood Heath (139888). Graded Good 2020, "Standards maintained" May 2025 — Good, dated 2020; latest visit May 2025 (audit M1).
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 139888, graded_inspection_date: '2020-03-03', ungraded_inspection_date: '2025-05-21', overall_effectiveness: 2, ungraded_grade: null, ungraded_outcome: 'Standards maintained'}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 139888, latest_visit_date: '2025-05-21', latest_visit_kind: ungraded, latest_visit_outcome: 'Standards maintained', current_grade: 2, current_grade_date: '2020-03-03', current_grade_basis: graded}
+
+  - name: ungraded_only_standards_maintained
+    description: Oakgrove (136454). Only an ungraded visit, outcome names no grade.
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 136454, ungraded_inspection_date: '2024-11-13', ungraded_grade: null, ungraded_outcome: 'Standards maintained'}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 136454, latest_visit_date: '2024-11-13', latest_visit_kind: ungraded, latest_visit_outcome: 'Standards maintained', current_grade: null, current_grade_date: null, current_grade_basis: null}
+
+  - name: report_card_wins
+    description: The Willink School (110048). A report card is the latest visit and no legacy grade stays in force.
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 110048, ungraded_inspection_date: '2023-10-05', ungraded_grade: 2, ungraded_outcome: 'School remains Good', rc_inspection_date: '2026-05-06', rc_inclusion: 3}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 110048, latest_visit_date: '2026-05-06', latest_visit_kind: report_card, latest_visit_outcome: null, current_grade: null, current_grade_date: null, current_grade_basis: null}
+
+  - name: duplicate_rows_newer_report_card_wins
+    description: Monthly loads can leave an older row beside a newer one for the same graded date; the row with the report card must win (audit H3).
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 138186, graded_inspection_date: '2023-06-13', overall_effectiveness: 3}
+          - {urn: 138186, graded_inspection_date: '2023-06-13', overall_effectiveness: 3, rc_inspection_date: '2026-06-02', rc_inclusion: 3}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 138186, latest_visit_date: '2026-06-02', latest_visit_kind: report_card, current_grade: null}
+
+  - name: same_day_graded_wins
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 2, graded_inspection_date: '2024-03-01', ungraded_inspection_date: '2024-03-01', overall_effectiveness: 1, ungraded_grade: 2, ungraded_outcome: 'School remains Good'}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 2, latest_visit_kind: graded, current_grade: 1, current_grade_basis: graded}
+
+  - name: overall_sentinel_is_not_a_grade
+    model: int_ofsted_latest
+    given:
+      - input: ref('stg_ofsted_inspections')
+        rows:
+          - {urn: 3, graded_inspection_date: '2018-05-01', overall_effectiveness: 9}
+    expect:
+      rows:
+        - {urn: 3, latest_visit_kind: graded, current_grade: null}