"""Diagnose the three data gaps blocking the compare-screen redesign. Run from repo root (network access required, no DB needed): uv run --with singer-sdk --with pandas --with requests \ python pipeline/scripts/diagnose_compare_gaps.py (singer_sdk is a transitive import of tap_uk_ees.tap / tap_uk_ofsted.tap and is not part of the repo's default environment, hence the `uv run --with`.) """ import io import re import sys import zipfile import pandas as pd import requests sys.path.insert(0, "pipeline/plugins/extractors/tap-uk-ees") sys.path.insert(0, "pipeline/plugins/extractors/tap-uk-ofsted") from tap_uk_ees.tap import ( # noqa: E402 _KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP, _KS2_NATIONAL_CSV_URL, download_release_zip, get_all_releases, ) from tap_uk_ofsted.tap import discover_csv_url # noqa: E402 TIMEOUT = 120 def check_national_gps_science(): print("\n=== (a) National catalogue CSV: GPS/science columns ===") resp = requests.get(_KS2_NATIONAL_CSV_URL, timeout=TIMEOUT) resp.raise_for_status() df = pd.read_csv(io.BytesIO(resp.content), dtype=str, keep_default_na=False) df.columns = [c.strip().lower() for c in df.columns] for csv_col in ("pt_gps_exp", "pt_scita_exp", "avg_readscore", "avg_matscore", "avg_gpsscore"): status = "PRESENT" if csv_col in df.columns else "MISSING" print(f" {csv_col}: {status}") gps_like = [c for c in df.columns if "gps" in c or "scita" in c or "sci" in c] print(f" all gps/science-ish columns: {gps_like}") nat = df[df.get("geographic_level", "").str.strip().str.lower() == "national"] print(f" national rows time_periods: {sorted(nat['time_period'].unique())}") # Sample the values our map would read for the latest year latest = nat[nat["time_period"] == nat["time_period"].max()] for csv_col, field in _KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP.items(): val = latest.iloc[0].get(csv_col, "") if len(latest) else "" print(f" {field} <- {csv_col} = {val!r}") def check_ks2_attainment_years_subjects(): print("\n=== (b) EES KS2 attainment: years & subject labels ===") releases = get_all_releases("key-stage-2-attainment") print(f" releases found: {[r['time_period'] for r in releases]}") for release in releases: try: zf = download_release_zip(release["id"]) except Exception as e: print(f" {release['time_period']}: DOWNLOAD FAILED: {e}") continue name = next((n for n in zf.namelist() if "ks2_school_attainment_data" in n and n.endswith(".csv")), None) if not name: print(f" {release['time_period']}: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP") print(f" all CSVs in zip: {[n for n in zf.namelist() if n.endswith('.csv')]}") continue with zf.open(name) as f: df = pd.read_csv(f, dtype=str, keep_default_na=False, nrows=200000) years = sorted(df["time_period"].unique()) subjects = sorted(df["subject"].unique()) print(f" release {release['time_period']}: time_periods={years}") print(f" subjects={subjects}") def check_ofsted_report_card_columns(): print("\n=== (c) Ofsted MI CSV: report-card columns ===") url = discover_csv_url() print(f" MI file: {url}") if url is None or not url.lower().endswith(".csv"): print(f" URL is not a CSV (likely ODS) — stopping this section. url={url!r}") return resp = requests.get(url, timeout=TIMEOUT) resp.raise_for_status() df = pd.read_csv(io.BytesIO(resp.content), dtype=str, keep_default_na=False, nrows=5) rc_like = [c for c in df.columns if re.search(r"report card|inclusion|curriculum|achievement|safeguard|well.?being|governance", c, re.I)] print(f" candidate report-card columns ({len(rc_like)}):") for c in rc_like: print(f" - {c!r}") print(f" all columns ({len(df.columns)}):") for c in df.columns: print(f" - {c!r}") if __name__ == "__main__": check_national_gps_science() check_ks2_attainment_years_subjects() check_ofsted_report_card_columns() # FINDINGS 2026-07-12: run via # uv run --with singer-sdk --with pandas --with requests \ # python pipeline/scripts/diagnose_compare_gaps.py # # (a) National catalogue CSV (GPS/science) — NOT a source-data problem. # pt_gps_exp, pt_scita_exp, avg_readscore, avg_matscore, avg_gpsscore are # all PRESENT in the catalogue CSV and hold real numeric values for the # latest national row (time_period 202425: pt_gps_exp='72.6' -> # gps_expected_pct; pt_scita_exp='81.6' -> science_expected_pct). # national time_periods present: 201516, 201617, 201718, 201819, 201920, # 202021, 202122, 202223, 202324, 202425 (COVID years 201920/202021 are # present as rows but suppressed with 'x' per the module docstring, not # absent). So _KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP is correct and the extractor's own # read of the source is fine end-to-end -- the NULLs in # marts.fact_ks2_national_averages are NOT caused by a missing/renamed # source column. The gap must be introduced downstream of the tap # (staging/mart SQL, a stale/incomplete load, or a dbt model not # selecting these two columns) -- Task 5/6 should look at the dbt # staging model for ees_ks2_national and the mart definition, not the # tap/column-map. # # (b) EES KS2 attainment (school-level, "key-stage-2-attainment" publication) # releases found (via get_all_releases): [None, '202425', '202324', # '202223', '202122']. The `None` entry is the *current/latest* release # (its slug doesn't parse to a 6-digit time_period by _slug_to_time_period, # but the CSV inside carries time_period='202425' -- same data as the # 202425-labelled release). # # Only two of the four releases contain a school-level attainment CSV # matching "ks2_school_attainment_data*.csv": # - release None (latest): HAS IT -> time_periods=['202425'] # subjects=['Grammar, punctuation and spelling', 'Maths', 'Reading', # 'Reading, writing and maths', 'Science', 'Writing'] # - release 202324: HAS IT -> time_periods=['202324'] # subjects= same 6 labels as above # - release 202223: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP. This # release's ZIP instead contains only LA/regional/national/MAT-level # files (e.g. ks2_regional_and_local_authority_*, ks2_multi_academy # _trusts_*, ks2_national_*); no data/*school*attainment*.csv file # exists at all in this release's package. This CONFIRMS the # "subject-level 2022/23 is NULL in prod" symptom: the source # release literally does not publish a school-level attainment file # for 202223 under this filename pattern -- it's not a tap bug. # - release 202122: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP. Same # situation: ZIP has only LA/regional/national-level files (e.g. # ks2_regional_and_local_authority_2016_to_2022_revised.csv, # ks2_national_school_characteristics_2016_to_2022_revised.csv); # no school-level attainment CSV present. This CONFIRMS "school-level # 2021/22 is absent" -- again a genuine source-data absence, not an # extractor bug. # Implication for Tasks 5/6/7: 202122 and 202223 school-level attainment # cannot be backfilled from the "key-stage-2-attainment" EES publication # via this filename pattern -- those two years must either be sourced # from a different EES dataset/file (e.g. one of the *_school_location_ # and_pupil_characteristics or *_school_type_and_pupil_characteristics # files present in those ZIPs, which may carry school-level rows under a # different filename), left NULL with an explicit "source unavailable" # note, or backfilled from the legacy DfE "Compare School Performance" # wide-format CSVs referenced elsewhere in tap.py. Subject labels to use # when a source *is* found for 202324/202425: # 'Grammar, punctuation and spelling', 'Maths', 'Reading', # 'Reading, writing and maths', 'Science', 'Writing' # (Reading, writing and maths spans reading+writing+maths combined -- # this is the RWM row.) # # (c) Ofsted MI CSV (report-card columns) — confirmed PRESENT. # discover_csv_url() resolved to (as at run time, latest inspections # 31 May 2026): # https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a27c45be13080622db38815/ # Management_information_-_state-funded_schools_-_latest_inspections_as_at_31_May_2026.csv # This is a real .csv (not .ods) so section (c) ran to completion. # Exact report-card column headers (6 grade columns + their paired date # columns, all present verbatim, case/spacing exactly as below): # 'Safeguarding standards' / 'Safeguarding standards - date of grade' # 'Inclusion' / 'Inclusion - date of grade' # 'Curriculum and teaching' / 'Curriculum and teaching - date of grade' # 'Achievement' / 'Achievement - date of grade' # 'Attendance and behaviour' / 'Attendance and behaviour - date of grade' # 'Personal development and wellbeing' / 'Personal development and wellbeing - date of grade' # 'Leadership and governance' / 'Leadership and governance - date of grade' # Plus a related pass/fail-style field: # 'Latest OEIF safeguarding is effective?' (note: double space in the # header, verbatim from source -- preserve exactly when mapping) # These are the new-style "report card" single-word-area grades # (introduced alongside the "Attendance and behaviour" split from # "Personal development"); they coexist in the same CSV with the legacy # 4-judgement OEIF columns ('Latest OEIF overall effectiveness', # 'Latest OEIF quality of education', 'Latest OEIF behaviour and # attitudes', 'Latest OEIF personal development', 'Latest OEIF # effectiveness of leadership and management'). Task 7 should map the 7 # report-card columns above (grade + date pairs, 6 of them, plus the # safeguarding-effective flag) rather than inventing new column names. # TASK 6 VERIFICATION 2026-07-12: 2021/22 legacy KS2 school-level archive # # RESULT: BLOCKED at the source-data level. School-level KS2 attainment for # academic year 2021/22 was never published anywhere publicly by DfE -- not # in EES (confirmed by Task 1's finding (b) above), not in the legacy # "Compare School Performance" download wizard, and not as a standalone # performance-tables archive/ODS on assets.publishing.service.gov.uk. This # is a deliberate DfE decision, not a gap in our extraction logic. # # Confirming quote (Key stage 2 attainment 2021/22 release notes, via # https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/ # key-stage-2-attainment/2021-22): # "We will not publish key stage 2 data for academic year 2021/22 in # performance tables (also known as Compare School and College # Performance)." ... "The Department will, however, still produce the # normal suite of key stage 2 accountability measures at school and # multi-academy trust level and share these securely with primary # schools, academy trusts and local authorities to inform school # improvement discussions." # (i.e. school-level 202122 KS2 results exist internally at DfE but were # withheld from every public channel: performance tables/CSCP, EES, and by # extension the legacy DfE archives the current legacy_ks2_urls entries in # meltano.yml were sourced from.) # # What was tried: # 1. Direct download URL pattern from the task brief: # https://www.compare-school-performance.service.gov.uk/download-data?download=true®ions=0&filters=KS2&fileformat=csv&year=2021-2022&meta=false # -> HTTP 404, HTML error page (not a CSV/ZIP). Saved response inspected; # confirmed 404 via response headers (`content-type: text/html`). # 2. Walked the actual multi-step download wizard at # https://www.compare-school-performance.service.gov.uk/download-data # with a browser User-Agent and a cookie jar, replicating the GET-based # form steps: currentstep=year (downloadYear=2021-2022) -> currentstep= # region (regiontype=all&la=0) -> currentstep=datatypes. On the final # "datatypes" step, the checkbox list for 2021-2022 has NO "ks2" (or # "ks2mats") option at all -- only ks4/ks4prov/ks4underlying/ks5* / # pupil-destination/absence/census/mats checkboxes are present. # Control check: repeating the same wizard walk for downloadYear= # 2018-2019, 2022-2023 and 2023-2024 shows a "ks2" (and "ks2mats") # checkbox present in all three; downloadYear=2020-2021 (COVID-cancelled # KS2 SATs year) also has NO ks2 checkbox, matching the pattern for a # year where school-level KS2 genuinely isn't published. 2021-2022 # behaves identically to the cancelled 2020-2021 year, not like the # normal 2018-2019/2022-2023/2023-2024 years. # 3. Web search for a standalone KS2 2022 performance-tables archive # (e.g. "england_ks2final" for 2022) on assets.publishing.service.gov.uk # found no such file; only unrelated 2022/2023-dated documents. # # No ZIP was ever obtained -- /tmp/dfe-2021-2022-ks2.zip contains the 404 # HTML error page from attempt (1) above, not a real archive. It contains # no england_ks2final.csv (there is no ZIP to look inside). # # Column-map check (brief's Step 1): NOT RUN -- there is no 2021/22 # england_ks2final.csv to check headers against. This is moot until/unless # a non-public source (e.g. a manual/internal DfE extract) becomes # available; _LEGACY_KS2_COLUMN_MAP itself is unchanged and untested here. # # Recommendation: mark 202122 school-level KS2 as a genuine, permanent # source-data gap (not a backfill candidate) unless the project can obtain # the internal DfE extract DfE says it shared "securely with primary # schools, academy trusts and local authorities" -- that is not a route # available to this pipeline. Task 6's meltano.yml change (Step 2) and the # filebrowser upload should NOT proceed for 202122; there is nothing to # upload. # TASK 7 VALUE SAMPLE 2026-07-12: live value_counts() over the 7 report-card # columns (plus the related safeguarding-effective flag) in the same MI CSV # resolved by discover_csv_url() as at run time (31 May 2026 inspections # file). Blank cells read as the literal string 'NULL' (matches # keep_default_na=False in tap.py). Observed non-blank values, verbatim: # # 'Safeguarding standards': 'Met' (1319), 'Not met' (10) # 'Inclusion': 'Expected standard' (710), # 'Strong standard' (447), 'Needs attention' (130), 'Exceptional' (23), # 'Urgent improvement' (19) # 'Curriculum and teaching': 'Expected standard' (797), # 'Needs attention' (287), 'Strong standard' (206), # 'Urgent improvement' (28), 'Exceptional' (11) # 'Achievement': 'Expected standard' (701), # 'Needs attention' (364), 'Strong standard' (207), # 'Urgent improvement' (39), 'Exceptional' (18) # 'Attendance and behaviour': 'Expected standard' (699), # 'Strong standard' (405), 'Needs attention' (188), # 'Urgent improvement' (21), 'Exceptional' (16) # 'Personal development and wellbeing': 'Expected standard' (728), # 'Strong standard' (504), 'Needs attention' (66), 'Exceptional' (23), # 'Urgent improvement' (8) # 'Leadership and governance': 'Expected standard' (813), # 'Strong standard' (292), 'Needs attention' (172), # 'Urgent improvement' (34), 'Exceptional' (18) # 'Latest OEIF safeguarding is effective?' (note double space, not used by # Task 7 -- kept for completeness): 'Yes' (12970), 'No' (96) # # So the 6 graded report-card columns share exactly one 5-value vocabulary: # {'Exceptional', 'Strong standard', 'Expected standard', 'Needs attention', # 'Urgent improvement'} -- no 'Attention needed' variant was observed # anywhere, so parse_report_card_grade.sql does NOT need that speculative # branch from the task brief. 'Safeguarding standards' is a separate # two-value vocabulary {'Met', 'Not met'}. # # Collision check: 'Achievement' matches by EXACT list-membership # (`candidate in df_columns`, a Python list containment check against the # full column-name list, not a substring/regex match) against only # ['Achievement', 'Achievement - date of grade'] -- the date-paired column # has a different exact string and is never selected. Same check for # 'Safeguarding standards' found only itself, its own date-of-grade column, # and the unrelated 'Latest OEIF safeguarding is effective?' column (not # mapped to any rc_* field). No legacy OEIF column is accidentally consumed # by an rc_ mapping.