"""Diagnose the three data gaps blocking the compare-screen redesign.
Run from repo root (network access required, no DB needed):
uv run --with singer-sdk --with pandas --with requests \
python pipeline/scripts/diagnose_compare_gaps.py
(singer_sdk is a transitive import of tap_uk_ees.tap / tap_uk_ofsted.tap and
is not part of the repo's default environment, hence the `uv run --with`.)
"""
import io
import re
import sys
import zipfile
import pandas as pd
import requests
sys.path.insert(0, "pipeline/plugins/extractors/tap-uk-ees")
sys.path.insert(0, "pipeline/plugins/extractors/tap-uk-ofsted")
from tap_uk_ees.tap import ( # noqa: E402
_KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP,
_KS2_NATIONAL_CSV_URL,
download_release_zip,
get_all_releases,
)
from tap_uk_ofsted.tap import discover_csv_url # noqa: E402
TIMEOUT = 120
def check_national_gps_science():
print("\n=== (a) National catalogue CSV: GPS/science columns ===")
resp = requests.get(_KS2_NATIONAL_CSV_URL, timeout=TIMEOUT)
resp.raise_for_status()
df = pd.read_csv(io.BytesIO(resp.content), dtype=str, keep_default_na=False)
df.columns = [c.strip().lower() for c in df.columns]
for csv_col in ("pt_gps_exp", "pt_scita_exp", "avg_readscore", "avg_matscore", "avg_gpsscore"):
status = "PRESENT" if csv_col in df.columns else "MISSING"
print(f" {csv_col}: {status}")
gps_like = [c for c in df.columns if "gps" in c or "scita" in c or "sci" in c]
print(f" all gps/science-ish columns: {gps_like}")
nat = df[df.get("geographic_level", "").str.strip().str.lower() == "national"]
print(f" national rows time_periods: {sorted(nat['time_period'].unique())}")
# Sample the values our map would read for the latest year
latest = nat[nat["time_period"] == nat["time_period"].max()]
for csv_col, field in _KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP.items():
val = latest.iloc[0].get(csv_col, "
") if len(latest) else ""
print(f" {field} <- {csv_col} = {val!r}")
def check_ks2_attainment_years_subjects():
print("\n=== (b) EES KS2 attainment: years & subject labels ===")
releases = get_all_releases("key-stage-2-attainment")
print(f" releases found: {[r['time_period'] for r in releases]}")
for release in releases:
try:
zf = download_release_zip(release["id"])
except Exception as e:
print(f" {release['time_period']}: DOWNLOAD FAILED: {e}")
continue
name = next((n for n in zf.namelist()
if "ks2_school_attainment_data" in n and n.endswith(".csv")), None)
if not name:
print(f" {release['time_period']}: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP")
print(f" all CSVs in zip: {[n for n in zf.namelist() if n.endswith('.csv')]}")
continue
with zf.open(name) as f:
df = pd.read_csv(f, dtype=str, keep_default_na=False, nrows=200000)
years = sorted(df["time_period"].unique())
subjects = sorted(df["subject"].unique())
print(f" release {release['time_period']}: time_periods={years}")
print(f" subjects={subjects}")
def check_ofsted_report_card_columns():
print("\n=== (c) Ofsted MI CSV: report-card columns ===")
url = discover_csv_url()
print(f" MI file: {url}")
if url is None or not url.lower().endswith(".csv"):
print(f" URL is not a CSV (likely ODS) — stopping this section. url={url!r}")
return
resp = requests.get(url, timeout=TIMEOUT)
resp.raise_for_status()
df = pd.read_csv(io.BytesIO(resp.content), dtype=str, keep_default_na=False, nrows=5)
rc_like = [c for c in df.columns
if re.search(r"report card|inclusion|curriculum|achievement|safeguard|well.?being|governance", c, re.I)]
print(f" candidate report-card columns ({len(rc_like)}):")
for c in rc_like:
print(f" - {c!r}")
print(f" all columns ({len(df.columns)}):")
for c in df.columns:
print(f" - {c!r}")
if __name__ == "__main__":
check_national_gps_science()
check_ks2_attainment_years_subjects()
check_ofsted_report_card_columns()
# FINDINGS 2026-07-12: run via
# uv run --with singer-sdk --with pandas --with requests \
# python pipeline/scripts/diagnose_compare_gaps.py
#
# (a) National catalogue CSV (GPS/science) — NOT a source-data problem.
# pt_gps_exp, pt_scita_exp, avg_readscore, avg_matscore, avg_gpsscore are
# all PRESENT in the catalogue CSV and hold real numeric values for the
# latest national row (time_period 202425: pt_gps_exp='72.6' ->
# gps_expected_pct; pt_scita_exp='81.6' -> science_expected_pct).
# national time_periods present: 201516, 201617, 201718, 201819, 201920,
# 202021, 202122, 202223, 202324, 202425 (COVID years 201920/202021 are
# present as rows but suppressed with 'x' per the module docstring, not
# absent). So _KS2_NATIONAL_COL_MAP is correct and the extractor's own
# read of the source is fine end-to-end -- the NULLs in
# marts.fact_ks2_national_averages are NOT caused by a missing/renamed
# source column. The gap must be introduced downstream of the tap
# (staging/mart SQL, a stale/incomplete load, or a dbt model not
# selecting these two columns) -- Task 5/6 should look at the dbt
# staging model for ees_ks2_national and the mart definition, not the
# tap/column-map.
#
# (b) EES KS2 attainment (school-level, "key-stage-2-attainment" publication)
# releases found (via get_all_releases): [None, '202425', '202324',
# '202223', '202122']. The `None` entry is the *current/latest* release
# (its slug doesn't parse to a 6-digit time_period by _slug_to_time_period,
# but the CSV inside carries time_period='202425' -- same data as the
# 202425-labelled release).
#
# Only two of the four releases contain a school-level attainment CSV
# matching "ks2_school_attainment_data*.csv":
# - release None (latest): HAS IT -> time_periods=['202425']
# subjects=['Grammar, punctuation and spelling', 'Maths', 'Reading',
# 'Reading, writing and maths', 'Science', 'Writing']
# - release 202324: HAS IT -> time_periods=['202324']
# subjects= same 6 labels as above
# - release 202223: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP. This
# release's ZIP instead contains only LA/regional/national/MAT-level
# files (e.g. ks2_regional_and_local_authority_*, ks2_multi_academy
# _trusts_*, ks2_national_*); no data/*school*attainment*.csv file
# exists at all in this release's package. This CONFIRMS the
# "subject-level 2022/23 is NULL in prod" symptom: the source
# release literally does not publish a school-level attainment file
# for 202223 under this filename pattern -- it's not a tap bug.
# - release 202122: NO school attainment CSV in ZIP. Same
# situation: ZIP has only LA/regional/national-level files (e.g.
# ks2_regional_and_local_authority_2016_to_2022_revised.csv,
# ks2_national_school_characteristics_2016_to_2022_revised.csv);
# no school-level attainment CSV present. This CONFIRMS "school-level
# 2021/22 is absent" -- again a genuine source-data absence, not an
# extractor bug.
# Implication for Tasks 5/6/7: 202122 and 202223 school-level attainment
# cannot be backfilled from the "key-stage-2-attainment" EES publication
# via this filename pattern -- those two years must either be sourced
# from a different EES dataset/file (e.g. one of the *_school_location_
# and_pupil_characteristics or *_school_type_and_pupil_characteristics
# files present in those ZIPs, which may carry school-level rows under a
# different filename), left NULL with an explicit "source unavailable"
# note, or backfilled from the legacy DfE "Compare School Performance"
# wide-format CSVs referenced elsewhere in tap.py. Subject labels to use
# when a source *is* found for 202324/202425:
# 'Grammar, punctuation and spelling', 'Maths', 'Reading',
# 'Reading, writing and maths', 'Science', 'Writing'
# (Reading, writing and maths spans reading+writing+maths combined --
# this is the RWM row.)
#
# (c) Ofsted MI CSV (report-card columns) — confirmed PRESENT.
# discover_csv_url() resolved to (as at run time, latest inspections
# 31 May 2026):
# https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/6a27c45be13080622db38815/
# Management_information_-_state-funded_schools_-_latest_inspections_as_at_31_May_2026.csv
# This is a real .csv (not .ods) so section (c) ran to completion.
# Exact report-card column headers (6 grade columns + their paired date
# columns, all present verbatim, case/spacing exactly as below):
# 'Safeguarding standards' / 'Safeguarding standards - date of grade'
# 'Inclusion' / 'Inclusion - date of grade'
# 'Curriculum and teaching' / 'Curriculum and teaching - date of grade'
# 'Achievement' / 'Achievement - date of grade'
# 'Attendance and behaviour' / 'Attendance and behaviour - date of grade'
# 'Personal development and wellbeing' / 'Personal development and wellbeing - date of grade'
# 'Leadership and governance' / 'Leadership and governance - date of grade'
# Plus a related pass/fail-style field:
# 'Latest OEIF safeguarding is effective?' (note: double space in the
# header, verbatim from source -- preserve exactly when mapping)
# These are the new-style "report card" single-word-area grades
# (introduced alongside the "Attendance and behaviour" split from
# "Personal development"); they coexist in the same CSV with the legacy
# 4-judgement OEIF columns ('Latest OEIF overall effectiveness',
# 'Latest OEIF quality of education', 'Latest OEIF behaviour and
# attitudes', 'Latest OEIF personal development', 'Latest OEIF
# effectiveness of leadership and management'). Task 7 should map the 7
# report-card columns above (grade + date pairs, 6 of them, plus the
# safeguarding-effective flag) rather than inventing new column names.
# TASK 6 VERIFICATION 2026-07-12: 2021/22 legacy KS2 school-level archive
#
# RESULT: BLOCKED at the source-data level. School-level KS2 attainment for
# academic year 2021/22 was never published anywhere publicly by DfE -- not
# in EES (confirmed by Task 1's finding (b) above), not in the legacy
# "Compare School Performance" download wizard, and not as a standalone
# performance-tables archive/ODS on assets.publishing.service.gov.uk. This
# is a deliberate DfE decision, not a gap in our extraction logic.
#
# Confirming quote (Key stage 2 attainment 2021/22 release notes, via
# https://explore-education-statistics.service.gov.uk/find-statistics/
# key-stage-2-attainment/2021-22):
# "We will not publish key stage 2 data for academic year 2021/22 in
# performance tables (also known as Compare School and College
# Performance)." ... "The Department will, however, still produce the
# normal suite of key stage 2 accountability measures at school and
# multi-academy trust level and share these securely with primary
# schools, academy trusts and local authorities to inform school
# improvement discussions."
# (i.e. school-level 202122 KS2 results exist internally at DfE but were
# withheld from every public channel: performance tables/CSCP, EES, and by
# extension the legacy DfE archives the current legacy_ks2_urls entries in
# meltano.yml were sourced from.)
#
# What was tried:
# 1. Direct download URL pattern from the task brief:
# https://www.compare-school-performance.service.gov.uk/download-data?download=true®ions=0&filters=KS2&fileformat=csv&year=2021-2022&meta=false
# -> HTTP 404, HTML error page (not a CSV/ZIP). Saved response inspected;
# confirmed 404 via response headers (`content-type: text/html`).
# 2. Walked the actual multi-step download wizard at
# https://www.compare-school-performance.service.gov.uk/download-data
# with a browser User-Agent and a cookie jar, replicating the GET-based
# form steps: currentstep=year (downloadYear=2021-2022) -> currentstep=
# region (regiontype=all&la=0) -> currentstep=datatypes. On the final
# "datatypes" step, the checkbox list for 2021-2022 has NO "ks2" (or
# "ks2mats") option at all -- only ks4/ks4prov/ks4underlying/ks5* /
# pupil-destination/absence/census/mats checkboxes are present.
# Control check: repeating the same wizard walk for downloadYear=
# 2018-2019, 2022-2023 and 2023-2024 shows a "ks2" (and "ks2mats")
# checkbox present in all three; downloadYear=2020-2021 (COVID-cancelled
# KS2 SATs year) also has NO ks2 checkbox, matching the pattern for a
# year where school-level KS2 genuinely isn't published. 2021-2022
# behaves identically to the cancelled 2020-2021 year, not like the
# normal 2018-2019/2022-2023/2023-2024 years.
# 3. Web search for a standalone KS2 2022 performance-tables archive
# (e.g. "england_ks2final" for 2022) on assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
# found no such file; only unrelated 2022/2023-dated documents.
#
# No ZIP was ever obtained -- /tmp/dfe-2021-2022-ks2.zip contains the 404
# HTML error page from attempt (1) above, not a real archive. It contains
# no england_ks2final.csv (there is no ZIP to look inside).
#
# Column-map check (brief's Step 1): NOT RUN -- there is no 2021/22
# england_ks2final.csv to check headers against. This is moot until/unless
# a non-public source (e.g. a manual/internal DfE extract) becomes
# available; _LEGACY_KS2_COLUMN_MAP itself is unchanged and untested here.
#
# Recommendation: mark 202122 school-level KS2 as a genuine, permanent
# source-data gap (not a backfill candidate) unless the project can obtain
# the internal DfE extract DfE says it shared "securely with primary
# schools, academy trusts and local authorities" -- that is not a route
# available to this pipeline. Task 6's meltano.yml change (Step 2) and the
# filebrowser upload should NOT proceed for 202122; there is nothing to
# upload.