.gitignore

@@ -8,3 +8,6 @@ pipeline/transform/.user.yml
 
 # Playwright MCP scratch output (screenshots, console logs, page snapshots)
 .playwright-mcp/
+
+# Playwright run artefacts written when the suite is run from the repo root
+test-results/

backend/app.py

@@ -633,6 +633,7 @@ async def get_school_details(request: Request, urn: int):
         "admissions": supplementary.get("admissions"),
         "admissions_history": supplementary.get("admissions_history") or [],
         "admission_distance": supplementary.get("admission_distance"),
+        "admission_distance_history": supplementary.get("admission_distance_history") or [],
         "sen_detail": supplementary.get("sen_detail"),
         "phonics": supplementary.get("phonics"),
         "deprivation": supplementary.get("deprivation"),

backend/data_loader.py

@@ -771,6 +771,7 @@ def _empty_supplementary() -> dict:
         "admissions": None,
         "admissions_history": [],
         "admission_distance": None,
+        "admission_distance_history": [],
         "sen_detail": None,
         "phonics": None,
         "deprivation": None,
@@ -849,25 +850,29 @@ def get_supplementary_data_batch(db: Session, urns: list[int]) -> dict:
             result[urn]["admissions"] = rows_for_urn[-1] if rows_for_urn else None
     _safe(_admissions)
 
-    # Last distance offered — latest year per URN.
+    # Last distance offered — all years per URN, oldest first, with the latest
+    # also exposed on its own.
     #
-    # Only the most recent year is served. Coverage is ragged (a school may
+    # The history was deliberately withheld at first: coverage is ragged (a
-    # have 2021 and 2026 but nothing between), so a history array would invite
+    # school may have 2021 and 2026 and nothing between), and a plain series
-    # a trend line drawn through gaps that are absences of publication rather
+    # would draw a trend line straight through gaps that are absences of
-    # than absences of a cut-off.
+    # publication rather than absences of a cut-off. It is served now because
+    # the client distinguishes those gaps explicitly — see cutoffYearRows in
+    # lastDistanceOffered.ts, which classifies every year in the range and
+    # breaks the line rather than interpolating across it.
     def _admission_distance():
         rows = (
             db.query(FactAdmissionDistance)
             .filter(FactAdmissionDistance.urn.in_(urns))
-            .order_by(FactAdmissionDistance.urn, FactAdmissionDistance.year.desc())
+            .order_by(FactAdmissionDistance.urn, FactAdmissionDistance.year.asc())
             .all()
         )
-        seen = set()
+        history: dict = {urn: [] for urn in urns}
         for d in rows:
-            if d.urn in seen:
+            history[d.urn].append(_admission_distance_dict(d))
-                continue
+        for urn, rows_for_urn in history.items():
-            seen.add(d.urn)
+            result[urn]["admission_distance_history"] = rows_for_urn
-            result[d.urn]["admission_distance"] = _admission_distance_dict(d)
+            result[urn]["admission_distance"] = rows_for_urn[-1] if rows_for_urn else None
     _safe(_admission_distance)
 
     # Deprivation — one row per URN.

backend/tests/test_supplementary_batch.py

@@ -8,8 +8,31 @@ from backend import data_loader
 from backend.data_loader import get_supplementary_data_batch
 
 
+def _sort_key(criterion):
+    """(column name, descending) for a SQLAlchemy order_by argument.
+
+    A bare column (Model.year) arrives as an InstrumentedAttribute carrying
+    .key; Model.year.desc() wraps it in a UnaryExpression whose column sits on
+    .element.
+    """
+    name = getattr(criterion, "key", None)
+    if name is not None:
+        return name, False
+    element = getattr(criterion, "element", None)
+    name = getattr(element, "key", None)
+    return name, "DESC" in str(criterion).upper()
+
+
 class _FakeQuery:
-    """Records that a query ran and serves canned rows filtered by an in-list."""
+    """Records that a query ran and serves canned rows filtered by an in-list.
+
+    order_by is honoured rather than ignored. The batch loader picks a row per
+    URN by position — first for "latest Ofsted", last for "latest cut-off
+    distance" — which is only correct because the database returned them
+    sorted. A double that drops the ORDER BY makes those picks depend on
+    fixture insertion order instead, so the test would pass with the sort
+    reversed or removed and prove nothing about the query.
+    """
 
     def __init__(self, recorder, model_name, rows):
         self._rec = recorder
@@ -19,7 +42,20 @@ class _FakeQuery:
     def filter(self, *args, **kwargs):
         return self
 
-    def order_by(self, *args, **kwargs):
+    def order_by(self, *criteria):
+        for crit in reversed(criteria):  # reversed = stable multi-key sort
+            name, descending = _sort_key(crit)
+            if not name:
+                continue
+            values = [getattr(r, name, None) for r in self._rows]
+            # Only sort on plainly comparable values. Some fixtures stand dates
+            # up as namespace objects, which raise on <; leaving those in their
+            # given order matches what the real query would produce for them.
+            if not all(isinstance(v, (int, float, str)) for v in values):
+                continue
+            self._rows = sorted(
+                self._rows, key=lambda r: getattr(r, name), reverse=descending
+            )
         return self
 
     def all(self):
@@ -115,8 +151,10 @@ def test_one_query_per_table_and_latest_row_per_urn():
     assert out[1]["admissions"]["year"] == 202627
     assert out[2]["admissions_history"] == [{**out[2]["admissions_history"][0]}]
 
-    # Cut-off distance: latest year only, per URN. Coverage is ragged, so
+    # Cut-off distance: full history oldest-first, with the newest year also
-    # serving anything but the newest would show a parent a stale figure.
+    # exposed on its own. The fixture rows are deliberately out of order, so
+    # this only passes if the query's ORDER BY is doing the work.
+    assert [r["year"] for r in out[1]["admission_distance_history"]] == [2024, 2025, 2026]
     assert out[1]["admission_distance"]["year"] == 2026
     assert out[1]["admission_distance"]["distance_m"] == 529.47
     # route_count travels with the figure — the page needs it to say the
@@ -133,3 +171,4 @@ def test_single_wrapper_matches_batch(monkeypatch):
     assert single["ofsted"]["overall_effectiveness"] == 2
     assert single["admissions_history"] == []
     assert single["admission_distance"] is None
+    assert single["admission_distance_history"] == []

e2e/tests/journeys.spec.ts

@@ -1226,14 +1226,21 @@ const CUTOFF_CANDIDATE_URNS = [
   101099, 100553, 102574, 100769,                 // mixed
 ];
 
-async function schoolWithCutoff(page: Page) {
+async function schoolWithCutoff(page: Page, minPublishedYears = 1) {
   for (const urn of CUTOFF_CANDIDATE_URNS) {
     const res = await page.request.get(`/api/schools/${urn}`);
     if (!res.ok()) continue;
     const body = await res.json();
-    if (body?.admission_distance?.distance_m != null) {
+    if (body?.admission_distance?.distance_m == null) continue;
-      return { urn, distance: body.admission_distance, phase: body.school_info?.phase };
+    const published = (body.admission_distance_history ?? [])
-    }
+      .filter((h: { distance_m?: number | null }) => h.distance_m != null);
+    if (published.length < minPublishedYears) continue;
+    return {
+      urn,
+      distance: body.admission_distance,
+      history: published,
+      phase: body.school_info?.phase,
+    };
   }
   return null;
 }
@@ -1307,3 +1314,106 @@ test('no school page shows an implausible cut-off distance', async ({ page }) =>
   }
   test.skip(checked === 0, 'no cut-off distances available to check yet');
 });
+
+// ── The Distance view, map and postcode check ────────────────────────────
+
+test('a school with several published years gets the Distance view', async ({ page }) => {
+  const found = await schoolWithCutoff(page, 2);
+  test.skip(found === null, 'no school in the sample has 2+ published cut-off years yet');
+
+  await page.goto(`/school/${found!.urn}`);
+  await expect(page.locator('#admissions')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15_000 });
+
+  const isSecondary = /secondary/i.test(found!.phase ?? '');
+  if (!isSecondary) {
+    // Primary pages carry a segmented control; the detail sits behind it.
+    const distanceTab = page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' });
+    await expect(distanceTab).toBeVisible();
+    await distanceTab.click();
+    await expect(distanceTab).toHaveAttribute('aria-pressed', 'true');
+  }
+
+  // Every published year must appear as a row, whichever template rendered it.
+  for (const h of found!.history as { year: number }[]) {
+    await expect(page.getByRole('rowheader', { name: String(h.year) })).toBeVisible();
+  }
+});
+
+test('the year table never leaves a gap unexplained', async ({ page }) => {
+  // A blank row would tell a parent nothing; each gap must name its reason.
+  const found = await schoolWithCutoff(page, 2);
+  test.skip(found === null, 'no school in the sample has 2+ published cut-off years yet');
+
+  await page.goto(`/school/${found!.urn}`);
+  await expect(page.locator('#admissions')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15_000 });
+  if (!/secondary/i.test(found!.phase ?? '')) {
+    await page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' }).click();
+  }
+
+  const statuses = await page.locator('[class*="cutoffPill"]').allTextContents();
+  expect(statuses.length).toBeGreaterThan(0);
+  for (const s of statuses) {
+    expect(s.trim(), 'every row carries a status').not.toBe('');
+  }
+  // The stronger claim the data cannot support must never appear.
+  await expect(page.getByText(/every applicant was offered/i)).toHaveCount(0);
+});
+
+test('the postcode check answers with a distance and per-year verdicts', async ({ page }) => {
+  const found = await schoolWithCutoff(page, 2);
+  test.skip(found === null, 'no school in the sample has 2+ published cut-off years yet');
+
+  await page.goto(`/school/${found!.urn}`);
+  await expect(page.locator('#admissions')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15_000 });
+  if (!/secondary/i.test(found!.phase ?? '')) {
+    await page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' }).click();
+  }
+
+  const input = page.getByLabel('Your postcode');
+  await expect(input).toBeVisible();
+  await input.fill('SW1A 1AA');
+  await page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Check' }).click();
+
+  // Either a verdict or a plain error — never a silent no-op.
+  const result = page.getByRole('status');
+  const error = page.getByRole('alert');
+  await expect(result.or(error)).toBeVisible({ timeout: 20_000 });
+
+  if (await result.isVisible()) {
+    await expect(result).toContainText(/mile|m\b/);
+  }
+});
+
+test('the postcode check states its limits before it is used', async ({ page }) => {
+  // The caveat is not revealed with the answer — it is there while the parent
+  // is deciding whether to trust the answer at all.
+  const found = await schoolWithCutoff(page, 2);
+  test.skip(found === null, 'no school in the sample has 2+ published cut-off years yet');
+
+  await page.goto(`/school/${found!.urn}`);
+  await expect(page.locator('#admissions')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15_000 });
+  if (!/secondary/i.test(found!.phase ?? '')) {
+    await page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' }).click();
+  }
+
+  await expect(page.getByText(/An indication only/)).toBeVisible();
+  await expect(page.getByText(/not a catchment boundary/)).toBeVisible();
+});
+
+test('the distance section never scrolls the page sideways', async ({ page }) => {
+  const found = await schoolWithCutoff(page, 2);
+  test.skip(found === null, 'no school in the sample has 2+ published cut-off years yet');
+
+  await page.setViewportSize({ width: 390, height: 844 });
+  await page.goto(`/school/${found!.urn}`);
+  await expect(page.locator('#admissions')).toBeVisible({ timeout: 15_000 });
+  if (!/secondary/i.test(found!.phase ?? '')) {
+    await page.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' }).click();
+  }
+
+  // The year table is deliberately wider than a phone; its own wrapper has to
+  // absorb that, or the whole page slides under the reader's thumb.
+  const overflow = await page.evaluate(() =>
+    document.documentElement.scrollWidth - document.documentElement.clientWidth);
+  expect(overflow, 'page must not scroll horizontally').toBeLessThanOrEqual(1);
+});

nextjs-app/__tests__/components/CutoffMapPanel.test.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,144 @@
+/**
+ * The postcode check.
+ *
+ * This is the one place on the site that answers a question about a specific
+ * family rather than about a school, so the tests here are mostly about what it
+ * refuses to say: no verdict without a published figure, and no verdict at all
+ * when the margin is inside the error of a postcode centroid.
+ */
+
+import { render, screen, fireEvent, waitFor } from '@testing-library/react';
+import { CutoffMapPanel } from '@/components/school/CutoffMapPanel';
+import { cutoffYearRows, CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M } from '@/components/school/lastDistanceOffered';
+import type { School, SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
+
+// Leaflet needs a real layout box and network tiles; neither exists in jsdom.
+// The panel's logic is independent of it, so the map is stubbed out.
+jest.mock('@/components/LeafletCutoffMapInner', () => ({
+  __esModule: true,
+  default: () => <div data-testid="cutoff-map" />,
+}));
+
+const mockGeocode = jest.fn();
+jest.mock('@/lib/api', () => ({
+  ...jest.requireActual('@/lib/api'),
+  geocodePostcode: (pc: string) => mockGeocode(pc),
+}));
+
+const SCHOOL = { urn: 100010, school_name: 'Test Primary', latitude: 51.5, longitude: -0.12 } as School;
+
+const d = (year: number, distance_m: number): SchoolAdmissionDistance => ({
+  year, distance_m, route_count: 1, la_name: 'Camden', distance_unit_raw: 'miles',
+});
+
+/** A point due north of the school, `metres` away. 1° latitude ≈ 111,320 m. */
+function northOf(metres: number) {
+  return { latitude: SCHOOL.latitude! + metres / 111_320, longitude: SCHOOL.longitude! };
+}
+
+function renderPanel(history: SchoolAdmissionDistance[], admissions: { year: number; oversubscribed?: boolean }[] = []) {
+  return render(
+    <CutoffMapPanel schoolInfo={SCHOOL} rows={cutoffYearRows(history, admissions)} />,
+  );
+}
+
+async function check(postcode: string) {
+  fireEvent.change(screen.getByLabelText('Your postcode'), { target: { value: postcode } });
+  fireEvent.click(screen.getByRole('button', { name: 'Check' }));
+}
+
+beforeEach(() => mockGeocode.mockReset());
+
+describe('CutoffMapPanel', () => {
+  it('renders nothing without a published figure to draw', () => {
+    const { container } = renderPanel([]);
+    expect(container).toBeEmptyDOMElement();
+  });
+
+  it('renders nothing when the school has no coordinates', () => {
+    const { container } = render(
+      <CutoffMapPanel
+        schoolInfo={{ ...SCHOOL, latitude: null, longitude: null } as School}
+        rows={cutoffYearRows([d(2024, 800)])}
+      />,
+    );
+    expect(container).toBeEmptyDOMElement();
+  });
+
+  it('rejects a malformed postcode without calling the geocoder', async () => {
+    renderPanel([d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('not a postcode');
+
+    expect(await screen.findByRole('alert')).toHaveTextContent(/does not look like a UK postcode/);
+    expect(mockGeocode).not.toHaveBeenCalled();
+  });
+
+  it('reports a home clearly inside every published year', async () => {
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(northOf(200));
+    renderPanel([d(2022, 1000), d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('SE23 3NA');
+
+    expect(await screen.findByRole('status')).toHaveTextContent(/inside the cut-off in all 2 years/);
+  });
+
+  it('reports a home clearly outside every published year', async () => {
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(northOf(5000));
+    renderPanel([d(2022, 1000), d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('SE23 3NA');
+
+    expect(await screen.findByRole('status')).toHaveTextContent(/outside the cut-off in every year/);
+  });
+
+  it('declines to call a result that sits inside the measurement error', async () => {
+    // The home is nominally inside 2024's 800 m cut-off, but only by half the
+    // uncertainty band — which a postcode centroid cannot resolve.
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(northOf(800 - CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M / 2));
+    renderPanel([d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('SE23 3NA');
+
+    const result = await screen.findByRole('status');
+    expect(result).toHaveTextContent(/too close to call/);
+    expect(result).not.toHaveTextContent(/inside the cut-off in all/);
+  });
+
+  it('counts an unpublished year as unknown rather than as a pass', async () => {
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(northOf(200));
+    renderPanel([d(2022, 1000), d(2024, 800)], [{ year: 2023, oversubscribed: false }]);
+    await check('SE23 3NA');
+
+    const result = await screen.findByRole('status');
+    expect(result).toHaveTextContent(/inside the cut-off in all 2 years/);
+    expect(result).toHaveTextContent(/no published figure/);
+  });
+
+  it('surfaces a postcode the geocoder cannot find', async () => {
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(null);
+    renderPanel([d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('ZZ99 9ZZ');
+
+    expect(await screen.findByRole('alert')).toHaveTextContent(/could not find that postcode/);
+  });
+
+  it('recovers from a geocoder failure instead of leaving a stale verdict', async () => {
+    mockGeocode.mockResolvedValue(northOf(200));
+    renderPanel([d(2024, 800)]);
+    await check('SE23 3NA');
+    await screen.findByRole('status');
+
+    mockGeocode.mockRejectedValue(new Error('network'));
+    await check('SE23 3NB');
+
+    await waitFor(() => expect(screen.queryByRole('status')).not.toBeInTheDocument());
+    expect(screen.getByRole('alert')).toHaveTextContent(/Something went wrong/);
+  });
+
+  it('always states the limits of the check', async () => {
+    renderPanel([d(2024, 800)]);
+    // Present before any postcode is entered, not revealed with the answer.
+    expect(screen.getByText(/An indication only/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    // The two caveats divide the work: the map says the rings are not a
+    // boundary, the check says the measurement may not be a straight line.
+    expect(screen.getByText(/not a catchment boundary/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.getByText(/walking route rather than a straight line/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+});

nextjs-app/__tests__/components/lastDistanceOffered.test.tsx

@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
  * sentence appears only when it is actually true.
  */
 
-import { screen } from '@testing-library/react';
+import { screen, fireEvent } from '@testing-library/react';
 import { renderSchoolDetail, renderSecondarySchoolDetail } from '../support/renderSchoolDetail';
 import { primaryFixture, secondaryFixture } from '../support/schoolFixtures';
 import type { SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
@@ -88,3 +88,122 @@ describe('secondary detail page', () => {
     expect(screen.getByText(/has not published a cut-off distance/)).toBeInTheDocument();
   });
 });
+
+// ── The Distance view ──────────────────────────────────────────────────
+
+const history = (pts: [number, number][]): SchoolAdmissionDistance[] =>
+  pts.map(([year, distance_m]) => ({
+    year, distance_m, route_count: 1, la_name: 'Camden', distance_unit_raw: 'miles',
+  }));
+
+describe('primary Distance view', () => {
+  it('appears once there are two or more published years', () => {
+    renderSchoolDetail({
+      ...primaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 700, year: 2024 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2021, 1000], [2022, 900], [2023, 800], [2024, 700]]),
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' })).toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+
+  it('stays hidden on a single published year', () => {
+    // One point is a fact, not a history; a chart of it invites a trend reading
+    // that is not there.
+    renderSchoolDetail({
+      ...primaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 700, year: 2024 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2024, 700]]),
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.queryByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' })).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+
+  it('lists every year in the span, including the ones with no figure', () => {
+    renderSchoolDetail({
+      ...primaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 700, year: 2024 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2021, 1000], [2024, 700]]),
+    });
+
+    // The view is server-rendered but starts hidden behind its tab, and role
+    // queries skip hidden subtrees — so open it the way a reader would.
+    fireEvent.click(screen.getByRole('button', { name: 'Distance' }));
+
+    // 2022 and 2023 were never published but must still appear as rows, or the
+    // gap in the chart has nothing explaining it.
+    for (const year of ['2021', '2022', '2023', '2024']) {
+      expect(screen.getByRole('rowheader', { name: year })).toBeInTheDocument();
+    }
+    expect(screen.getAllByText('Not published').length).toBe(2);
+  });
+
+  it('never claims everyone was offered a place', () => {
+    // fact_admissions.oversubscribed is about first preferences only, so the
+    // stronger claim is not supported by the data behind it.
+    renderSchoolDetail({
+      ...primaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 700, year: 2024 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2021, 1000], [2024, 700]]),
+      admissionsHistory: [
+        ...primaryFixture.admissionsHistory,
+        { year: 2022, oversubscribed: false, places_offered: 60 },
+      ],
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByText(/Places available on first preferences/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.queryByText(/every applicant/i)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.queryByText(/all offered/i)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+
+  it('withholds a trend reading while the record is thin', () => {
+    renderSchoolDetail({
+      ...primaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 700, year: 2024 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2023, 800], [2024, 700]]),
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByText(/too few to read as a trend/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.queryByText(/Across \d+ published years/)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+});
+
+describe('secondary Distance detail', () => {
+  it('renders inline, with no extra tab, once there are two published years', () => {
+    renderSecondarySchoolDetail({
+      ...secondaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: cutoff({ distance_m: 3472.96 }),
+      admissionDistanceHistory: history([[2023, 3800], [2024, 3472.96]]),
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByText(/Last distance offered, by year/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.getByRole('rowheader', { name: '2023' })).toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+
+  it('explains a selective school by how it admits rather than as missing data', () => {
+    renderSecondarySchoolDetail({
+      ...secondaryFixture,
+      schoolInfo: { ...secondaryFixture.schoolInfo, admissions_policy: 'Selective' },
+      admissionDistance: null,
+      admissionDistanceHistory: [],
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByText(/ranked by the entrance test/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+    expect(screen.queryByText(/has not published a cut-off distance/)).not.toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+
+  it('reads a consistently undersubscribed school as good news', () => {
+    renderSecondarySchoolDetail({
+      ...secondaryFixture,
+      admissionDistance: null,
+      admissionDistanceHistory: [],
+      admissionsHistory: [
+        { year: 2022, oversubscribed: false },
+        { year: 2023, oversubscribed: false },
+        { year: 2024, oversubscribed: false },
+      ],
+    });
+
+    expect(screen.getByText(/has not needed a distance cut-off/)).toBeInTheDocument();
+  });
+});

nextjs-app/__tests__/lib/lastDistanceOffered.test.ts

@@ -8,7 +8,10 @@
  */
 
 import { formatCutoffDistance, formatEntryYear } from '@/lib/utils';
-import { describeCutoff } from '@/components/school/lastDistanceOffered';
+import {
+  describeCutoff, cutoffYearRows, cutoffTrendSummary, cutoffCoverageNote,
+  describeCutoffAbsence, compareToCutoffs, entryYearOf, CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M,
+} from '@/components/school/lastDistanceOffered';
 import type { SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
 
 const distance = (over: Partial<SchoolAdmissionDistance> = {}): SchoolAdmissionDistance => ({
@@ -78,3 +81,151 @@ describe('describeCutoff', () => {
     expect(describeCutoff(distance({ distance_m: null }))).toBeNull();
   });
 });
+
+// ── Year-by-year history ───────────────────────────────────────────────
+
+const d = (year: number, distance_m: number | null, route_count = 1): SchoolAdmissionDistance => ({
+  year, distance_m, route_count, la_name: 'Camden', distance_unit_raw: 'miles',
+});
+
+describe('entryYearOf', () => {
+  it('reduces EES academic codes and plain entry years to one key', () => {
+    // Without this the two histories never join and every year looks unpublished.
+    expect(entryYearOf(202425)).toBe(2024);
+    expect(entryYearOf(2024)).toBe(2024);
+  });
+});
+
+describe('cutoffYearRows', () => {
+  it('emits a row for every year in the span, including the empty ones', () => {
+    const rows = cutoffYearRows([d(2021, 900), d(2024, 700)]);
+    expect(rows.map((r) => r.year)).toEqual([2024, 2023, 2022, 2021]);
+    expect(rows.map((r) => r.status)).toEqual([
+      'published', 'not-published', 'not-published', 'published',
+    ]);
+  });
+
+  it('separates "nothing published" from "was not oversubscribed"', () => {
+    // The two look identical in the distance data and mean opposite things.
+    const rows = cutoffYearRows(
+      [d(2021, 900), d(2023, 700)],
+      [{ year: 2022, oversubscribed: false }],
+    );
+    expect(rows.find((r) => r.year === 2022)!.status).toBe('not-oversubscribed');
+  });
+
+  it('matches EES six-digit years against plain cut-off years', () => {
+    const rows = cutoffYearRows(
+      [d(2023, 700)],
+      [{ year: 202324, places_offered: 60, oversubscribed: true }],
+    );
+    expect(rows.find((r) => r.year === 2023)!.placesOffered).toBe(60);
+  });
+
+  it('does not stretch the span back over admissions years with no cut-offs', () => {
+    // EES reaches back further than councils publish; padding the chart with a
+    // decade of blanks would bury the years that carry a figure.
+    const rows = cutoffYearRows(
+      [d(2024, 700)],
+      [{ year: 2015, oversubscribed: true }, { year: 2024, oversubscribed: true }],
+    );
+    expect(rows.map((r) => r.year)).toEqual([2024]);
+  });
+
+  it('is safe when the backend does not send the field at all', () => {
+    expect(cutoffYearRows(undefined as never)).toEqual([]);
+    expect(cutoffYearRows([], [])).toEqual([]);
+  });
+});
+
+describe('cutoffTrendSummary', () => {
+  const rowsFor = (pts: [number, number][]) => cutoffYearRows(pts.map(([y, m]) => d(y, m)));
+
+  it('says nothing below four published points', () => {
+    expect(cutoffTrendSummary(rowsFor([[2022, 900], [2023, 800], [2024, 700]]))).toBeNull();
+  });
+
+  it('names both endpoints and their years rather than passing a verdict', () => {
+    const s = cutoffTrendSummary(rowsFor([
+      [2021, 1000], [2022, 900], [2023, 800], [2024, 500],
+    ]));
+    expect(s).toContain('2021');
+    expect(s).toContain('2024');
+    expect(s).toContain('tightened');
+  });
+
+  it('does not call a small wobble a direction', () => {
+    const s = cutoffTrendSummary(rowsFor([
+      [2021, 1000], [2022, 1010], [2023, 990], [2024, 1030],
+    ]));
+    expect(s).toContain('stayed broadly the same');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('cutoffCoverageNote', () => {
+  it('warns while the record is too thin to read as a trend', () => {
+    expect(cutoffCoverageNote(cutoffYearRows([d(2024, 700)]))).toContain('Only 1 year');
+    expect(cutoffCoverageNote(cutoffYearRows([
+      d(2021, 1000), d(2022, 900), d(2023, 800), d(2024, 700),
+    ]))).toBeNull();
+  });
+});
+
+describe('describeCutoffAbsence', () => {
+  it('explains a selective school by how it admits, not by missing data', () => {
+    const s = describeCutoffAbsence({ localAuthority: 'Kent', admissionsPolicy: 'Selective' });
+    expect(s).toContain('entrance test');
+    expect(s).not.toContain('has not published');
+  });
+
+  it('reads a consistently undersubscribed school as good news', () => {
+    const s = describeCutoffAbsence({
+      localAuthority: 'Camden',
+      admissionsHistory: [
+        { year: 2022, oversubscribed: false },
+        { year: 2023, oversubscribed: false },
+        { year: 2024, oversubscribed: false },
+      ],
+    });
+    expect(s).toContain('has not needed a distance cut-off');
+  });
+
+  it('otherwise names the authority that would hold the figure', () => {
+    expect(describeCutoffAbsence({ localAuthority: 'Camden' }))
+      .toContain('Camden has not published');
+  });
+});
+
+describe('compareToCutoffs', () => {
+  const rows = cutoffYearRows(
+    [d(2022, 1000), d(2024, 800)],
+    [{ year: 2023, oversubscribed: false }],
+  );
+
+  it('marks a clearly nearer home as inside every comparable year', () => {
+    const r = compareToCutoffs(300, rows);
+    expect(r.insideCount).toBe(2);
+    expect(r.comparableCount).toBe(2);
+    expect(r.headline).toContain('inside the cut-off in all 2 years');
+  });
+
+  it('marks a clearly further home as outside', () => {
+    const r = compareToCutoffs(4000, rows);
+    expect(r.insideCount).toBe(0);
+    expect(r.headline).toContain('outside the cut-off in every year');
+  });
+
+  it('refuses to call a result inside the measurement error', () => {
+    // A postcode centroid covers several addresses; claiming a place on a 20 m
+    // margin would be inventing precision the inputs do not have.
+    const r = compareToCutoffs(800 - CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M / 2, rows);
+    expect(r.years.find((y) => y.year === 2024)!.verdict).toBe('too-close');
+    expect(r.detail).toContain('too close to call');
+  });
+
+  it('never counts an unpublished year as a pass or a fail', () => {
+    const r = compareToCutoffs(300, rows);
+    expect(r.years.find((y) => y.year === 2023)!.verdict).toBe('unknown');
+    expect(r.detail).toContain('no published figure');
+  });
+});

nextjs-app/__tests__/support/renderSchoolDetail.tsx

@@ -45,6 +45,7 @@ export function renderSchoolDetail(fixture: any) {
       >
         <PrimarySchoolSections
           {...fixture}
+          admissionDistanceHistory={fixture.admissionDistanceHistory ?? []}
           nationalAvg={nationalAveragesFixture}
           flags={flags}
         />
@@ -72,6 +73,8 @@ export function renderSecondarySchoolDetail(fixture: any) {
       >
         <SecondarySchoolSections
           {...fixture}
+          admissionsHistory={fixture.admissionsHistory ?? []}
+          admissionDistanceHistory={fixture.admissionDistanceHistory ?? []}
           nationalAvg={nationalAveragesFixture}
           flags={flags}
         />

nextjs-app/app/school/[slug]/page.tsx

@@ -147,7 +147,7 @@ export default async function SchoolPage({ params }: SchoolPageProps) {
     notFound();
   }
 
-  const { school_info, yearly_data, absence_data, ofsted, census, admissions, admissions_history, admission_distance, deprivation, finance } = data;
+  const { school_info, yearly_data, absence_data, ofsted, census, admissions, admissions_history, admission_distance, admission_distance_history, deprivation, finance } = data;
 
   // Redirect bare URN to canonical slug URL
   const canonicalSlug = schoolUrl(urn, school_info.school_name).replace('/school/', '');
@@ -229,7 +229,9 @@ export default async function SchoolPage({ params }: SchoolPageProps) {
             ofsted={ofsted ?? null}
             census={census ?? null}
             admissions={admissions ?? null}
+            admissionsHistory={admissions_history ?? []}
             admissionDistance={admission_distance ?? null}
+            admissionDistanceHistory={admission_distance_history ?? []}
             deprivation={deprivation ?? null}
             finance={finance ?? null}
             nationalAvg={nationalAvg}
@@ -252,6 +254,7 @@ export default async function SchoolPage({ params }: SchoolPageProps) {
             admissions={admissions ?? null}
             admissionsHistory={admissions_history ?? []}
             admissionDistance={admission_distance ?? null}
+            admissionDistanceHistory={admission_distance_history ?? []}
             deprivation={deprivation ?? null}
             finance={finance ?? null}
             nationalAvg={nationalAvg}

nextjs-app/components/CutoffTrendChart.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,123 @@
+'use client';
+
+/**
+ * CutoffTrendChart
+ * The last distance offered, year by year.
+ *
+ * Two things this chart deliberately does not do.
+ *
+ * It does not join across gaps (`spanGaps: false`). A missing year is usually a
+ * year the authority published nothing, and a line drawn through it would
+ * assert a cut-off that was never measured.
+ *
+ * It does not plot the non-distance outcomes. A year in which the school was
+ * not oversubscribed has no distance — that is the point of it — and giving it
+ * a y-position would put a number on the axis that does not exist. The mockup
+ * floated such years at the top of the plot; here they are a gap in the line
+ * and a labelled row in the table underneath, which is where a reason can be
+ * stated in words rather than implied by a coordinate.
+ */
+
+import { Line } from 'react-chartjs-2';
+import { ChartOptions } from 'chart.js';
+import '@/lib/chartSetup';
+import { useThemeTokens, alpha } from '@/lib/theme';
+import type { CutoffYearRow } from './school/lastDistanceOffered';
+import styles from './AdmissionsTrendChart.module.css';
+
+const METRES_PER_MILE = 1609.344;
+
+export default function CutoffTrendChart({ rows }: { rows: CutoffYearRow[] }) {
+  // rows arrive newest-first; a time axis reads oldest-first.
+  const axis = [...rows].reverse();
+  const published = axis.filter((r) => r.distanceM != null);
+  if (published.length < 2) return null;
+
+  const labels = axis.map((r) => String(r.year));
+  const values: (number | null)[] = axis.map((r) =>
+    r.distanceM != null ? r.distanceM / METRES_PER_MILE : null,
+  );
+
+  const present = values.map((v, i) => (v != null ? i : -1)).filter((i) => i >= 0);
+  const lastIdx = present[present.length - 1];
+
+  const numeric = values.filter((v): v is number => v != null);
+  const lo = Math.min(...numeric);
+  const hi = Math.max(...numeric);
+  // Headroom proportional to the spread, with a floor so a flat series does not
+  // collapse onto a single gridline and read as more precise than it is.
+  const pad = Math.max(0.05, (hi - lo) * 0.25);
+  const yMin = Math.max(0, lo - pad);
+  const yMax = hi + pad;
+
+  const [cBrand, cGrid, cInverse, cInverseText, cCard] = useThemeTokens(
+    '--brand', '--chart-grid', '--surface-inverse', '--text-inverse', '--bg-card',
+  );
+
+  const options: ChartOptions<'line'> = {
+    responsive: true,
+    maintainAspectRatio: false,
+    interaction: { mode: 'index', intersect: false },
+    layout: { padding: { top: 8 } },
+    plugins: {
+      legend: { display: false },
+      title: { display: false },
+      tooltip: {
+        backgroundColor: cInverse,
+        titleColor: cInverseText,
+        bodyColor: cInverseText,
+        padding: 10,
+        titleFont: { size: 12 },
+        bodyFont: { size: 12 },
+        callbacks: {
+          label: (ctx) =>
+            ctx.parsed.y == null ? '' : `Last distance offered: ${ctx.parsed.y.toFixed(2)} miles`,
+        },
+      },
+    },
+    scales: {
+      y: {
+        min: yMin,
+        max: yMax,
+        grid: { color: cGrid },
+        ticks: {
+          font: { size: 11 },
+          maxTicksLimit: 5,
+          callback: (v) => `${Number(v).toFixed(2)} mi`,
+        },
+      },
+      x: {
+        grid: { display: false },
+        ticks: { font: { size: 11 }, autoSkip: true, maxRotation: 0, autoSkipPadding: 16 },
+      },
+    },
+  };
+
+  const data = {
+    labels,
+    datasets: [
+      {
+        label: 'Last distance offered',
+        data: values,
+        clip: false as const,
+        spanGaps: false,
+        borderColor: cBrand,
+        backgroundColor: alpha('--brand', 0.10),
+        borderWidth: 2.5,
+        tension: 0.3,
+        fill: true,
+        pointRadius: values.map((v, i) => (v == null ? 0 : i === lastIdx ? 5 : 3)),
+        pointBackgroundColor: cBrand,
+        pointBorderColor: cCard,
+        pointBorderWidth: values.map((_, i) => (i === lastIdx ? 2 : 0)),
+        pointHoverRadius: 6,
+      },
+    ],
+  };
+
+  return (
+    <div className={styles.wrapper}>
+      <Line data={data} options={options} />
+    </div>
+  );
+}

nextjs-app/components/LeafletCutoffMapInner.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,169 @@
+/**
+ * LeafletCutoffMapInner
+ * The cut-off distances drawn around the school.
+ *
+ * L.circle takes a radius in metres and projects it properly, which is exactly
+ * what these rings are: a straight-line distance from the school. (L.circleMarker
+ * would take pixels and would silently stop meaning anything as the user zoomed.)
+ *
+ * The latest year is filled and labelled; earlier years are hairlines behind it,
+ * so a tightening cut-off reads as a set of shrinking circles without needing a
+ * legend to decode it. The map auto-fits the widest ring, so the whole history
+ * is in frame whatever the distances are.
+ */
+
+'use client';
+
+import { useEffect, useRef } from 'react';
+import L from 'leaflet';
+import 'leaflet/dist/leaflet.css';
+
+export interface CutoffRing {
+  year: number;
+  radiusM: number;
+  latest: boolean;
+}
+
+interface Props {
+  lat: number;
+  lng: number;
+  rings: CutoffRing[];
+  /** The parent's geocoded postcode, once they have entered one. */
+  home: { lat: number; lng: number } | null;
+  interactive: boolean;
+}
+
+const SCHOOL_PIN = `
+<div style="position:relative;width:22px;height:22px">
+  <span style="position:absolute;left:50%;top:50%;width:26px;height:26px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);border-radius:50%;background:var(--brand-bg)"></span>
+  <span style="position:absolute;left:50%;top:50%;width:14px;height:14px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);border-radius:50%;background:var(--brand);border:3px solid var(--bg-card)"></span>
+</div>`;
+
+// A square rotated 45° — a different SHAPE from the school's circle, not just a
+// different colour, so the two are still distinguishable to anyone who cannot
+// separate the hues.
+const HOME_PIN = `
+<div style="width:18px;height:18px;display:grid;place-items:center">
+  <span style="width:12px;height:12px;background:var(--status-above);border:2.5px solid var(--bg-card);transform:rotate(45deg);border-radius:2px"></span>
+</div>`;
+
+function cssVar(name: string, fallback: string): string {
+  if (typeof window === 'undefined') return fallback;
+  return getComputedStyle(document.documentElement).getPropertyValue(name).trim() || fallback;
+}
+
+export default function LeafletCutoffMapInner({ lat, lng, rings, home, interactive }: Props) {
+  const elRef = useRef<HTMLDivElement>(null);
+  const mapRef = useRef<L.Map | null>(null);
+  const layersRef = useRef<L.Layer[]>([]);
+  const zoomCtrlRef = useRef<L.Control.Zoom | null>(null);
+
+  useEffect(() => {
+    if (!elRef.current || mapRef.current) return;
+    const map = L.map(elRef.current, {
+      zoomControl: false,
+      attributionControl: true,
+      dragging: false,
+      scrollWheelZoom: false,
+      doubleClickZoom: false,
+      boxZoom: false,
+      keyboard: false,
+      touchZoom: false,
+    }).setView([lat, lng], 14);
+
+    L.tileLayer('https://{s}.tile.openstreetmap.org/{z}/{x}/{y}.png', {
+      attribution: '&copy; <a href="https://www.openstreetmap.org/copyright">OpenStreetMap</a> contributors',
+      maxZoom: 19,
+    }).addTo(map);
+
+    mapRef.current = map;
+    setTimeout(() => map.invalidateSize(), 60);
+
+    return () => {
+      map.remove();
+      mapRef.current = null;
+      layersRef.current = [];
+      zoomCtrlRef.current = null;
+    };
+  }, [lat, lng]);
+
+  // Redraw rings, pins and the viewport whenever the data changes.
+  useEffect(() => {
+    const map = mapRef.current;
+    if (!map) return;
+
+    layersRef.current.forEach((l) => l.remove());
+    layersRef.current = [];
+
+    const brand = cssVar('--brand', '#0F766E');
+    const above = cssVar('--status-above', '#2F855A');
+
+    // Widest first, so the small recent ring is not buried under the old ones.
+    const ordered = [...rings].sort((a, b) => b.radiusM - a.radiusM);
+    for (const r of ordered) {
+      const circle = L.circle([lat, lng], {
+        radius: r.radiusM,
+        color: brand,
+        weight: r.latest ? 3 : 1.5,
+        opacity: r.latest ? 1 : 0.45,
+        fill: r.latest,
+        fillColor: brand,
+        fillOpacity: r.latest ? 0.12 : 0,
+        interactive: false,
+      }).addTo(map);
+      layersRef.current.push(circle);
+    }
+
+    const school = L.marker([lat, lng], {
+      icon: L.divIcon({ className: '', iconSize: [22, 22], iconAnchor: [11, 11], html: SCHOOL_PIN }),
+      keyboard: false,
+      interactive: false,
+    }).addTo(map);
+    layersRef.current.push(school);
+
+    if (home) {
+      const pin = L.marker([home.lat, home.lng], {
+        icon: L.divIcon({ className: '', iconSize: [18, 18], iconAnchor: [9, 9], html: HOME_PIN }),
+        keyboard: false,
+        interactive: false,
+      }).addTo(map);
+      layersRef.current.push(pin);
+
+      const line = L.polyline([[lat, lng], [home.lat, home.lng]], {
+        color: above,
+        weight: 2,
+        dashArray: '5 5',
+        opacity: 0.85,
+        interactive: false,
+      }).addTo(map);
+      layersRef.current.push(line);
+    }
+
+    // Frame the widest ring — and the home pin when it falls outside it, so a
+    // family beyond every cut-off can still see where they sit.
+    const widest = ordered[0]?.radiusM ?? 500;
+    let bounds = L.latLng(lat, lng).toBounds(widest * 2.2);
+    if (home) bounds = bounds.extend(L.latLng(home.lat, home.lng));
+    map.fitBounds(bounds, { padding: [16, 16] });
+  }, [lat, lng, rings, home]);
+
+  useEffect(() => {
+    const map = mapRef.current;
+    if (!map) return;
+    const handlers = [
+      map.dragging, map.scrollWheelZoom, map.doubleClickZoom, map.boxZoom, map.keyboard, map.touchZoom,
+    ];
+    handlers.forEach((h) => { if (h) { interactive ? h.enable() : h.disable(); } });
+
+    if (interactive && !zoomCtrlRef.current) {
+      zoomCtrlRef.current = L.control.zoom({ position: 'topleft' });
+      zoomCtrlRef.current.addTo(map);
+    } else if (!interactive && zoomCtrlRef.current) {
+      zoomCtrlRef.current.remove();
+      zoomCtrlRef.current = null;
+    }
+    setTimeout(() => map.invalidateSize(), 80);
+  }, [interactive]);
+
+  return <div ref={elRef} style={{ width: '100%', height: '100%' }} />;
+}

nextjs-app/components/school/AdmissionsSection.tsx

@@ -12,19 +12,25 @@
  */
 
 import type { ReactNode } from 'react';
-import type { SchoolAdmissions, SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
+import type { School, SchoolAdmissions, SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
 import { formatAcademicYear, formatPercentage } from '@/lib/utils';
 import { summariseAdmissions } from '@/lib/compareLogic';
 import { Section, sectionStyles as styles } from './sectionShared';
-import { AdmissionsViewToggle } from './AdmissionsViewToggle';
+import { AdmissionsViewToggle, type AdmissionsView } from './AdmissionsViewToggle';
 import { AdmissionsTrendChart } from './charts';
-import { describeCutoff, CUTOFF_NOTE, CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE } from './lastDistanceOffered';
+import { CutoffDistanceDetail } from './CutoffDistanceDetail';
+import {
+  describeCutoff, cutoffYearRows,
+  CUTOFF_NOTE, CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE,
+} from './lastDistanceOffered';
 
 
 export function AdmissionsSection({
   admissions,
   admissionsHistory,
   admissionDistance,
+  admissionDistanceHistory,
+  schoolInfo,
   isAllThrough,
 }: {
   /* Nullable: the two data sources are independent. A minority of schools have
@@ -34,9 +40,18 @@ export function AdmissionsSection({
   admissions: SchoolAdmissions | null;
   admissionsHistory: SchoolAdmissions[];
   admissionDistance: SchoolAdmissionDistance | null;
+  admissionDistanceHistory: SchoolAdmissionDistance[];
+  schoolInfo: School;
   isAllThrough: boolean;
 }) {
   const cutoff = describeCutoff(admissionDistance);
+  // Every year in the span, including the ones with nothing in them — the
+  // classification of a missing year is what the Distance view is mostly for.
+  const cutoffRows = cutoffYearRows(admissionDistanceHistory, admissionsHistory);
+  const publishedYears = cutoffRows.filter((r) => r.status === 'published').length;
+  // One published year is a fact, not a history: the tile already says it, and
+  // a chart of a single point invites a trend reading that is not there.
+  const showDistanceView = publishedYears >= 2;
 
   // Trend toggle only appears with ≥2 years carrying an offer rate.
   const admissionsOfferYears = admissionsHistory.filter((h) => h.first_preference_offer_pct != null).length;
@@ -167,18 +182,36 @@ export function AdmissionsSection({
     </>
   );
 
+  const distanceView = showDistanceView && (
+    <CutoffDistanceDetail rows={cutoffRows} schoolInfo={schoolInfo} />
+  );
+
+  const views: AdmissionsView[] = [
+    { id: 'year', label: 'This year', content: yearView, className: styles.admissionsViewYear },
+  ];
+  if (showAdmissionsTrend) {
+    views.push({
+      id: 'trend',
+      label: `${admissionsHistory.length}-year trend`,
+      content: trendView,
+      className: styles.admissionsViewTrend,
+    });
+  }
+  if (showDistanceView) {
+    views.push({
+      id: 'distance',
+      label: 'Distance',
+      content: distanceView,
+      className: styles.admissionsViewTrend,
+    });
+  }
+
   return (
     <Section id="admissions">
-      {showAdmissionsTrend ? (
+      {views.length > 1 ? (
-        <AdmissionsViewToggle
+        <AdmissionsViewToggle title={title} subtitle={subtitle} views={views} />
-          title={title}
-          subtitle={subtitle}
-          trendLabel={`${admissionsHistory.length}-year trend`}
-          yearView={yearView}
-          trendView={trendView}
-        />
       ) : (
-        /* No trend data — render statically, with no client component at all. */
+        /* One view — render statically, with no client component at all. */
         <>
           <div className={styles.admissionsHeader}>
             <h2 className={styles.sectionTitle}>{title}</h2>

nextjs-app/components/school/AdmissionsViewToggle.tsx

@@ -3,14 +3,25 @@
 import { useState, type ReactNode } from 'react';
 import styles from './schoolSections.module.css';
 
+export interface AdmissionsView {
+  id: string;
+  /** Button text. "This year" and the "N-year trend" label are asserted by the
+   *  e2e journey, so they are not free to drift. */
+  label: string;
+  content: ReactNode;
+  /** The year view sizes its tile grid to match the chart beside it, so each
+   *  view keeps its own class rather than sharing one wrapper style. */
+  className?: string;
+}
+
 /**
  * The only interactive part of the primary admissions section, and the only
  * client component in components/school/.
  *
- * Both views are always present in the DOM and visibility is toggled with the
+ * Every view is always present in the DOM and visibility is toggled with the
- * `hidden` attribute — matching the previous behaviour exactly — so the
+ * `hidden` attribute, so the server-rendered markup passed in as content never
- * server-rendered markup passed in as yearView/trendView never ships as client
+ * ships as client JavaScript — this component carries the state and nothing
- * JavaScript.
+ * else.
  *
  * It spans the header and the viewport because the segmented control sits
  * inside .admissionsHeader beside the <h2> while the viewport is a sibling
@@ -19,39 +30,38 @@ import styles from './schoolSections.module.css';
 export function AdmissionsViewToggle({
   title,
   subtitle,
-  trendLabel,
+  views,
-  yearView,
-  trendView,
 }: {
   title: ReactNode;
   subtitle: ReactNode;
-  trendLabel: string;
+  views: AdmissionsView[];
-  yearView: ReactNode;
-  trendView: ReactNode;
 }) {
-  const [view, setView] = useState<'year' | 'trend'>('year');
+  const [active, setActive] = useState(views[0]?.id);
 
   return (
     <>
       <div className={styles.admissionsHeader}>
         <h2 className={styles.sectionTitle}>{title}</h2>
         <div className={styles.admissionsSeg} role="group" aria-label="Admissions view">
-          <button type="button" aria-pressed={view === 'year'} onClick={() => setView('year')}>
+          {views.map((v) => (
-            This year
+            <button
-          </button>
+              key={v.id}
-          <button type="button" aria-pressed={view === 'trend'} onClick={() => setView('trend')}>
+              type="button"
-            {trendLabel}
+              aria-pressed={active === v.id}
-          </button>
+              onClick={() => setActive(v.id)}
+            >
+              {v.label}
+            </button>
+          ))}
         </div>
       </div>
       {subtitle}
       <div className={styles.admissionsViewport}>
-        <div className={styles.admissionsViewYear} hidden={view !== 'year'}>
+        {views.map((v) => (
-          {yearView}
+          <div key={v.id} className={v.className} hidden={active !== v.id}>
-        </div>
+            {v.content}
-        <div className={styles.admissionsViewTrend} hidden={view !== 'trend'}>
+          </div>
-          {trendView}
+        ))}
-        </div>
       </div>
     </>
   );

nextjs-app/components/school/CutoffDistanceDetail.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,70 @@
+/**
+ * CutoffDistanceDetail — the full year-by-year cut-off story.
+ *
+ * Chart, table, map and postcode check, in that order: the shape of the trend,
+ * then what happened in each year, then the same numbers over real streets,
+ * then the reader's own address measured against them.
+ *
+ * Shared by both templates because the content is identical, but placed
+ * differently by each. The primary page has a segmented control and gives this
+ * its own "Distance" tab; the secondary page is one flat panel by design, so it
+ * renders inline beneath the metric cards. Extracting it keeps the caveats and
+ * the ordering from drifting apart between the two.
+ *
+ * Server component — the map and postcode form are the only client parts, and
+ * they carry their own boundary.
+ */
+
+import type { School } from '@/lib/types';
+import { sectionStyles as styles } from './sectionShared';
+import { CutoffTrendChart } from './charts';
+import { CutoffYearTable } from './CutoffYearTable';
+import { CutoffMapPanel } from './CutoffMapPanel';
+import {
+  cutoffTrendSummary, cutoffCoverageNote,
+  CUTOFF_NOTE, CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE,
+  type CutoffYearRow,
+} from './lastDistanceOffered';
+
+export function CutoffDistanceDetail({
+  rows,
+  schoolInfo,
+  /** Repeat the "not a catchment" caveat here. On the primary page this view is
+   *  behind a tab, so a reader can reach it without ever seeing the tile that
+   *  carries the caveat; on the secondary page the caveat is already directly
+   *  above, and repeating it verbatim reads as a stutter. */
+  showCaveat = true,
+}: {
+  rows: CutoffYearRow[];
+  schoolInfo: School;
+  showCaveat?: boolean;
+}) {
+  const publishedYears = rows.filter((r) => r.status === 'published').length;
+  if (publishedYears < 2) return null;
+
+  const trendSummary = cutoffTrendSummary(rows);
+  const coverageNote = cutoffCoverageNote(rows);
+
+  return (
+    <>
+      <div className={styles.admissionsChartCap}>Last distance offered, by year</div>
+      <CutoffTrendChart rows={rows} />
+      <p className={styles.cutoffChartKey}>
+        The line breaks where no figure was published — it is never drawn across
+        a gap. The table below says what happened in each of those years.
+      </p>
+      {trendSummary && <p className={styles.admissionsTrendSummary}>{trendSummary}</p>}
+
+      <CutoffYearTable rows={rows} />
+      {coverageNote && <p className={styles.cutoffChartKey}>{coverageNote}</p>}
+
+      <CutoffMapPanel schoolInfo={schoolInfo} rows={rows} />
+
+      {showCaveat && (
+        <p className={styles.admissionsDistanceNote}>
+          {CUTOFF_NOTE} {CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE}
+        </p>
+      )}
+    </>
+  );
+}

nextjs-app/components/school/CutoffMapPanel.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,205 @@
+'use client';
+
+/**
+ * CutoffMapPanel — "Where the last place went".
+ *
+ * The rings and the postcode check live in one component because they are one
+ * question asked twice: the map answers "how far is that?" and the form answers
+ * "how far are we?". Entering a postcode drops a pin on the same rings rather
+ * than producing a separate verdict somewhere else on the page.
+ *
+ * The postcode never leaves the browser except to postcodes.io for a lat/long,
+ * and nothing is stored — this is a client-side measurement, not a lookup
+ * against the family.
+ */
+
+import { useState, useMemo, type FormEvent } from 'react';
+import dynamic from 'next/dynamic';
+import type { School } from '@/lib/types';
+import { geocodePostcode, calculateDistance } from '@/lib/api';
+import { isValidPostcode } from '@/lib/utils';
+import {
+  compareToCutoffs, CUTOFF_CHECK_CAVEAT, CUTOFF_MAP_CAVEAT,
+  type CutoffYearRow, type CutoffCheckResult, type CutoffVerdict,
+} from './lastDistanceOffered';
+import type { CutoffRing } from '../LeafletCutoffMapInner';
+import styles from './schoolSections.module.css';
+
+const CutoffMap = dynamic(() => import('../LeafletCutoffMapInner'), {
+  ssr: false,
+  loading: () => <div className={styles.cutoffMapSkeleton} aria-hidden="true" />,
+});
+
+const VERDICT_MARK: Record<CutoffVerdict, string> = {
+  inside: '✓',
+  outside: '✕',
+  'too-close': '≈',
+  unknown: '–',
+};
+
+const VERDICT_TITLE: Record<CutoffVerdict, string> = {
+  inside: 'Inside that year’s cut-off',
+  outside: 'Outside that year’s cut-off',
+  'too-close': 'Too close to the cut-off to say',
+  unknown: 'No published figure for this year',
+};
+
+// Written out rather than composed from the verdict string. A computed
+// `styles[...]` key silently yields undefined when a class is renamed, and an
+// unstyled "outside" chip would look exactly like an "inside" one.
+const VERDICT_CLASS: Record<CutoffVerdict, string> = {
+  inside: styles.cutoffYearInside,
+  outside: styles.cutoffYearOutside,
+  'too-close': styles.cutoffYearTooClose,
+  unknown: styles.cutoffYearUnknown,
+};
+
+export function CutoffMapPanel({
+  schoolInfo,
+  rows,
+}: {
+  schoolInfo: School;
+  rows: CutoffYearRow[];
+}) {
+  const [postcode, setPostcode] = useState('');
+  const [home, setHome] = useState<{ lat: number; lng: number } | null>(null);
+  const [result, setResult] = useState<CutoffCheckResult | null>(null);
+  const [error, setError] = useState<string | null>(null);
+  const [busy, setBusy] = useState(false);
+
+  const lat = schoolInfo.latitude;
+  const lng = schoolInfo.longitude;
+
+  const rings: CutoffRing[] = useMemo(() => {
+    const published = rows.filter((r) => r.distanceM != null);
+    return published.map((r, i) => ({
+      year: r.year,
+      radiusM: r.distanceM as number,
+      // rows are newest-first, so the first published row is the current year.
+      latest: i === 0,
+    }));
+  }, [rows]);
+
+  // Without coordinates there is nothing to draw rings around and nothing to
+  // measure a postcode against.
+  if (lat == null || lng == null || rings.length === 0) return null;
+
+  const onCheck = async (e: FormEvent) => {
+    e.preventDefault();
+    const value = postcode.trim();
+    if (!value) return;
+
+    if (!isValidPostcode(value)) {
+      setError('That does not look like a UK postcode. Try one like SE23 3NA.');
+      setResult(null);
+      setHome(null);
+      return;
+    }
+
+    setBusy(true);
+    setError(null);
+    try {
+      const point = await geocodePostcode(value);
+      if (!point) {
+        setError('We could not find that postcode. Check it and try again.');
+        setResult(null);
+        setHome(null);
+        return;
+      }
+      setHome({ lat: point.latitude, lng: point.longitude });
+      // calculateDistance returns kilometres; everything here is metres.
+      const metres = calculateDistance(point.latitude, point.longitude, lat, lng) * 1000;
+      setResult(compareToCutoffs(metres, rows));
+    } catch {
+      setError('Something went wrong looking up that postcode. Try again in a moment.');
+      setResult(null);
+      setHome(null);
+    } finally {
+      setBusy(false);
+    }
+  };
+
+  const latestRing = rings[0];
+
+  return (
+    <div className={styles.cutoffMapPanel}>
+      <h3 className={styles.cutoffMapTitle}>Where the last place went</h3>
+
+      <div className={styles.cutoffMapFigure}>
+        <CutoffMap lat={lat} lng={lng} rings={rings} home={home} interactive={false} />
+      </div>
+
+      <ul className={styles.cutoffMapLegend}>
+        <li>
+          <span className={`${styles.cutoffSwatch} ${styles.cutoffSwatchNow}`} aria-hidden="true" />
+          {latestRing.year} cut-off
+        </li>
+        {rings.length > 1 && (
+          <li>
+            <span className={`${styles.cutoffSwatch} ${styles.cutoffSwatchPast}`} aria-hidden="true" />
+            Earlier years, {rings[rings.length - 1].year}–{rings[1].year}
+          </li>
+        )}
+        {home && (
+          <li>
+            <span className={`${styles.cutoffSwatch} ${styles.cutoffSwatchHome}`} aria-hidden="true" />
+            Your postcode
+          </li>
+        )}
+      </ul>
+
+      <p className={styles.cutoffMapCaveat}>{CUTOFF_MAP_CAVEAT}</p>
+
+      <div className={styles.cutoffCheck}>
+        <h4 className={styles.cutoffCheckTitle}>How far away are you?</h4>
+        <p className={styles.cutoffCheckSub}>
+          We measure a straight line from your postcode to the school and compare
+          it with each year’s cut-off. Your postcode is not stored.
+        </p>
+
+        <form className={styles.cutoffCheckForm} onSubmit={onCheck}>
+          <label className={styles.srOnly} htmlFor="cutoff-postcode">Your postcode</label>
+          <input
+            id="cutoff-postcode"
+            type="text"
+            inputMode="text"
+            autoComplete="postal-code"
+            spellCheck={false}
+            placeholder="e.g. SE23 3NA"
+            value={postcode}
+            onChange={(e) => setPostcode(e.target.value)}
+            className={styles.cutoffCheckInput}
+          />
+          <button type="submit" className={styles.cutoffCheckButton} disabled={busy}>
+            {busy ? 'Checking…' : 'Check'}
+          </button>
+        </form>
+
+        {error && <p className={styles.cutoffCheckError} role="alert">{error}</p>}
+
+        {result && (
+          <div className={styles.cutoffCheckResult} role="status">
+            <p className={styles.cutoffCheckHeadline}>{result.headline}</p>
+            {result.detail && <p className={styles.cutoffCheckDetail}>{result.detail}</p>}
+
+            <ul className={styles.cutoffYearStrip}>
+              {[...result.years].reverse().map((y) => (
+                <li
+                  key={y.year}
+                  className={`${styles.cutoffYearChip} ${VERDICT_CLASS[y.verdict]}`}
+                  title={VERDICT_TITLE[y.verdict]}
+                >
+                  <span className={styles.cutoffYearChipYear}>{y.year}</span>
+                  <span aria-hidden="true">{VERDICT_MARK[y.verdict]}</span>
+                  <span className={styles.srOnly}>{VERDICT_TITLE[y.verdict]}</span>
+                </li>
+              ))}
+            </ul>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        <p className={styles.cutoffCheckCaveat}>{CUTOFF_CHECK_CAVEAT}</p>
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  );
+}

nextjs-app/components/school/CutoffYearTable.tsx

@@ -0,0 +1,82 @@
+/**
+ * CutoffYearTable — the last distance offered, year by year.
+ *
+ * The table is where the chart's gaps get explained. Each year says which of
+ * the three things happened, in words, because "no figure" alone is the least
+ * useful thing we could tell a parent about a year.
+ *
+ * Server component: it is static markup over data the page already holds.
+ */
+
+import type { CutoffYearRow, CutoffYearStatus } from './lastDistanceOffered';
+import { sectionStyles as styles } from './sectionShared';
+
+const STATUS_LABEL: Record<CutoffYearStatus, string> = {
+  published: 'Oversubscribed',
+  // Precisely what the EES field supports, and no more: first preferences did
+  // not exceed places. It does not establish that every applicant was offered
+  // a place, so it must not be worded as though it did.
+  'not-oversubscribed': 'Places available on first preferences',
+  'not-published': 'Not published',
+};
+
+const STATUS_CLASS: Record<CutoffYearStatus, string> = {
+  published: styles.cutoffPillOver,
+  'not-oversubscribed': styles.cutoffPillOk,
+  'not-published': styles.cutoffPillNa,
+};
+
+const DISTANCE_TEXT: Record<CutoffYearStatus, string> = {
+  published: '',
+  'not-oversubscribed': 'No cut-off needed',
+  'not-published': '—',
+};
+
+export function CutoffYearTable({ rows }: { rows: CutoffYearRow[] }) {
+  if (rows.length === 0) return null;
+
+  const showPlaces = rows.some((r) => r.placesOffered != null);
+
+  return (
+    <div className={styles.cutoffTableWrap}>
+      <table className={styles.cutoffTable}>
+        <caption className={styles.srOnly}>
+          Last distance offered by year, with the reason where no figure was published
+        </caption>
+        <thead>
+          <tr>
+            <th scope="col">Year</th>
+            <th scope="col">Last distance</th>
+            {showPlaces && <th scope="col">Places</th>}
+            <th scope="col">Status</th>
+          </tr>
+        </thead>
+        <tbody>
+          {rows.map((r, i) => (
+            <tr key={r.year} className={i === 0 ? styles.cutoffRowLatest : undefined}>
+              <th scope="row">{r.year}</th>
+              <td className={r.status === 'published' ? undefined : styles.cutoffCellMissing}>
+                {r.status === 'published' ? r.figure : DISTANCE_TEXT[r.status]}
+                {r.status === 'published' && (r.routeCount ?? 1) > 1 && (
+                  <span className={styles.cutoffRouteFlag}>
+                    {' '}furthest of {r.routeCount}
+                  </span>
+                )}
+              </td>
+              {showPlaces && (
+                <td className={r.placesOffered == null ? styles.cutoffCellMissing : undefined}>
+                  {r.placesOffered ?? '—'}
+                </td>
+              )}
+              <td>
+                <span className={`${styles.cutoffPill} ${STATUS_CLASS[r.status]}`}>
+                  {STATUS_LABEL[r.status]}
+                </span>
+              </td>
+            </tr>
+          ))}
+        </tbody>
+      </table>
+    </div>
+  );
+}

nextjs-app/components/school/PrimarySchoolSections.tsx

@@ -35,6 +35,7 @@ export interface PrimarySchoolSectionsProps {
   admissions: SchoolAdmissions | null;
   admissionsHistory: SchoolAdmissions[];
   admissionDistance: SchoolAdmissionDistance | null;
+  admissionDistanceHistory: SchoolAdmissionDistance[];
   deprivation: SchoolDeprivation | null;
   finance: SchoolFinance | null;
   nationalAvg: NationalAverages | null;
@@ -43,7 +44,8 @@ export interface PrimarySchoolSectionsProps {
 
 export function PrimarySchoolSections({
   schoolInfo, yearlyData, absenceData, ofsted, census,
-  admissions, admissionsHistory, admissionDistance, deprivation, finance, nationalAvg, flags,
+  admissions, admissionsHistory, admissionDistance, admissionDistanceHistory,
+  deprivation, finance, nationalAvg, flags,
 }: PrimarySchoolSectionsProps) {
   const primaryAvg = nationalAvg?.primary ?? {};
   const secondaryAvg = nationalAvg?.secondary ?? {};
@@ -101,6 +103,8 @@ export function PrimarySchoolSections({
           admissions={admissions}
           admissionsHistory={admissionsHistory}
           admissionDistance={admissionDistance}
+          admissionDistanceHistory={admissionDistanceHistory}
+          schoolInfo={schoolInfo}
           isAllThrough={flags.isAllThrough}
         />
       )}

nextjs-app/components/school/SecondaryAdmissionsSection.tsx

@@ -9,19 +9,27 @@
 import type { School, SchoolAdmissions, SchoolAdmissionDistance } from '@/lib/types';
 import { formatPercentage } from '@/lib/utils';
 import { Section, sectionStyles as styles } from './sectionShared';
-import { describeCutoff, CUTOFF_NOTE, CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE } from './lastDistanceOffered';
+import { CutoffDistanceDetail } from './CutoffDistanceDetail';
+import {
+  describeCutoff, cutoffYearRows, describeCutoffAbsence,
+  CUTOFF_NOTE, CUTOFF_MEASUREMENT_NOTE,
+} from './lastDistanceOffered';
 
 export function SecondaryAdmissionsSection({
-  admissions, admissionDistance, schoolInfo, hasSixthForm,
+  admissions, admissionsHistory, admissionDistance, admissionDistanceHistory,
+  schoolInfo, hasSixthForm,
 }: {
   /* Nullable for the same reason as the primary section: a school can have a
      published cut-off and no EES admissions row. */
   admissions: SchoolAdmissions | null;
+  admissionsHistory: SchoolAdmissions[];
   admissionDistance: SchoolAdmissionDistance | null;
+  admissionDistanceHistory: SchoolAdmissionDistance[];
   schoolInfo: School;
   hasSixthForm: boolean;
 }) {
   const cutoff = describeCutoff(admissionDistance);
+  const cutoffRows = cutoffYearRows(admissionDistanceHistory, admissionsHistory);
   // Moved with this section from SecondarySchoolDetailView, its only consumer.
   const admissionsTag = (() => {
     const policy = schoolInfo.admissions_policy?.toLowerCase() ?? '';
@@ -100,13 +108,19 @@ export function SecondaryAdmissionsSection({
         </p>
       ) : (
         <p className={styles.sectionSubtitle} style={{ marginTop: '1rem' }}>
-          {schoolInfo.local_authority
+          {describeCutoffAbsence({
-            ? `${schoolInfo.local_authority} has not published a cut-off distance for this school.`
+            localAuthority: schoolInfo.local_authority,
-            : 'No cut-off distance has been published for this school.'}{' '}
+            admissionsPolicy: schoolInfo.admissions_policy,
-          Contact the admissions authority for its oversubscription criteria.
+            admissionsHistory,
+          })}
         </p>
       )}
 
+      {/* Inline rather than behind a tab: this template is one flat panel by
+          design and has no segmented control to hang a third view on. The
+          caveat is suppressed because it is already directly above. */}
+      <CutoffDistanceDetail rows={cutoffRows} schoolInfo={schoolInfo} showCaveat={false} />
+
       {hasSixthForm && (
         <div className={styles.sixthFormNote}>
           This school has a sixth form (Post-16 provision). Post-16 destination data coming soon.

nextjs-app/components/school/SecondarySchoolSections.tsx

@@ -32,7 +32,11 @@ export interface SecondarySchoolSectionsProps {
   ofsted: OfstedInspection | null;
   census: SchoolCensus | null;
   admissions: SchoolAdmissions | null;
+  /** Needed to tell a year with no published cut-off apart from a year the
+   *  school simply was not oversubscribed. */
+  admissionsHistory: SchoolAdmissions[];
   admissionDistance: SchoolAdmissionDistance | null;
+  admissionDistanceHistory: SchoolAdmissionDistance[];
   deprivation: SchoolDeprivation | null;
   finance: SchoolFinance | null;
   nationalAvg: NationalAverages | null;
@@ -41,7 +45,8 @@ export interface SecondarySchoolSectionsProps {
 
 export function SecondarySchoolSections({
   schoolInfo, yearlyData, ofsted, census,
-  admissions, admissionDistance, deprivation, finance, nationalAvg, flags,
+  admissions, admissionsHistory, admissionDistance, admissionDistanceHistory,
+  deprivation, finance, nationalAvg, flags,
 }: SecondarySchoolSectionsProps) {
   const secondaryAvg = nationalAvg?.secondary ?? {};
 
@@ -86,6 +91,8 @@ export function SecondarySchoolSections({
         <SecondaryAdmissionsSection
           admissions={admissions}
           admissionDistance={admissionDistance}
+          admissionDistanceHistory={admissionDistanceHistory}
+          admissionsHistory={admissionsHistory}
           schoolInfo={schoolInfo}
           hasSixthForm={flags.hasSixthForm}
         />

nextjs-app/components/school/charts.tsx

@@ -24,3 +24,8 @@ export const AdmissionsTrendChart = dynamic(
   () => import('../AdmissionsTrendChart'),
   { ssr: false },
 );
+
+export const CutoffTrendChart = dynamic(
+  () => import('../CutoffTrendChart'),
+  { ssr: false },
+);

nextjs-app/components/school/lastDistanceOffered.ts

@@ -59,3 +59,319 @@ export function describeCutoff(
         : null,
   };
 }
+
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+// Year-by-year history
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * Why a year has no cut-off figure.
+ *
+ * The distinction matters more than the figure does. A missing year is not one
+ * fact but three, and collapsing them into "no data" throws away the most
+ * reassuring case (the school had places for everyone who put it first) and
+ * the most important caveat (nobody published anything, so we cannot say).
+ */
+export type CutoffYearStatus =
+  /** The authority published a cut-off for this year. */
+  | 'published'
+  /**
+   * No cut-off published, and EES shows fewer first-preference applications
+   * than places offered. Note the precise claim: this says the school was not
+   * oversubscribed ON FIRST PREFERENCES, which is what the data supports. It
+   * does NOT establish that every applicant was offered a place — total
+   * applications can still exceed places — so no copy here may say so.
+   */
+  | 'not-oversubscribed'
+  /** Nothing published, and nothing in the admissions data to explain why. */
+  | 'not-published';
+
+export interface CutoffYearRow {
+  year: number;
+  status: CutoffYearStatus;
+  /** Straight-line metres, present only when status is 'published'. */
+  distanceM: number | null;
+  /** Formatted figure, present only when status is 'published'. */
+  figure: string | null;
+  placesOffered: number | null;
+  routeCount: number | null;
+}
+
+interface AdmissionsYearLike {
+  year: number;
+  places_offered?: number | null;
+  oversubscribed?: boolean | null;
+}
+
+/**
+ * EES years are six-digit academic codes (202425); cut-off years are plain
+ * entry years (2024). Both denote the same September intake, so they have to be
+ * reduced to a common key before they can be matched.
+ */
+export function entryYearOf(year: number): number {
+  const s = String(year);
+  return s.length === 6 ? Number(s.slice(0, 4)) : year;
+}
+
+/**
+ * One row per year across the full span the school has any record for, newest
+ * first. Years with no record at all still appear — an unbroken axis is what
+ * makes a gap legible as a gap.
+ */
+export function cutoffYearRows(
+  /* Defaulted, not merely optional: admission_distance_history is an additive
+     API field, so a frontend deployed ahead of its backend receives undefined
+     here. Defaulting keeps that a section that renders nothing rather than a
+     page that throws. */
+  history: SchoolAdmissionDistance[] = [],
+  admissionsHistory: AdmissionsYearLike[] = [],
+): CutoffYearRow[] {
+  const published = new Map<number, SchoolAdmissionDistance>();
+  for (const d of history ?? []) {
+    if (d.distance_m != null) published.set(entryYearOf(d.year), d);
+  }
+
+  const admissions = new Map<number, AdmissionsYearLike>();
+  for (const a of admissionsHistory ?? []) admissions.set(entryYearOf(a.year), a);
+
+  const years = [...published.keys(), ...admissions.keys()];
+  if (years.length === 0) return [];
+
+  // The span is bounded by the cut-off data, not by admissions: EES reaches
+  // back further than councils publish, and padding the chart with a decade of
+  // "not published" would bury the years that carry a figure.
+  const publishedYears = [...published.keys()];
+  const from = publishedYears.length ? Math.min(...publishedYears) : Math.min(...years);
+  const to = Math.max(...years);
+
+  const rows: CutoffYearRow[] = [];
+  for (let y = to; y >= from; y -= 1) {
+    const d = published.get(y);
+    const a = admissions.get(y);
+
+    let status: CutoffYearStatus = 'not-published';
+    if (d) status = 'published';
+    else if (a?.oversubscribed === false) status = 'not-oversubscribed';
+
+    rows.push({
+      year: y,
+      status,
+      distanceM: d?.distance_m ?? null,
+      figure: d ? formatCutoffDistance(d.distance_m)?.primary ?? null : null,
+      placesOffered: a?.places_offered ?? null,
+      routeCount: d?.route_count ?? null,
+    });
+  }
+  return rows;
+}
+
+/**
+ * A factual summary of how the cut-off has moved.
+ *
+ * Deliberately not a verdict. It names both endpoints and their years and lets
+ * the reader draw the conclusion, because the series is short, gappy, and
+ * driven by things outside the school's control — one large sibling cohort
+ * moves it. Withheld below four published points, where a swing between two
+ * years is noise wearing the clothes of a trend.
+ */
+export function cutoffTrendSummary(rows: CutoffYearRow[]): string | null {
+  const pts = rows.filter((r) => r.status === 'published' && r.distanceM != null);
+  if (pts.length < 4) return null;
+
+  // rows are newest-first
+  const latest = pts[0];
+  const earliest = pts[pts.length - 1];
+  const a = formatCutoffDistance(earliest.distanceM)?.primary;
+  const b = formatCutoffDistance(latest.distanceM)?.primary;
+  if (!a || !b) return null;
+
+  const change = latest.distanceM! - earliest.distanceM!;
+  // A tenth of the earlier figure — below that the endpoints are effectively
+  // the same and calling it a direction would be reading noise.
+  const meaningful = Math.abs(change) > earliest.distanceM! * 0.1;
+
+  const direction = !meaningful
+    ? 'has stayed broadly the same'
+    : change < 0
+      ? 'has tightened'
+      : 'has widened';
+
+  return `Across ${pts.length} published years the cut-off ${direction}: `
+    + `${a} in ${earliest.year}, ${b} in ${latest.year}.`;
+}
+
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+// "Would we have got in?"
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+/**
+ * How close a home has to be to a year's cut-off before the comparison stops
+ * meaning anything, in metres.
+ *
+ * A UK postcode unit covers roughly fifteen addresses and postcodes.io returns
+ * its centroid, so the home point carries error of this order before anything
+ * else is considered. Against a cut-off that is often only 500 m, that is a
+ * fifth of the whole distance. Inside this band the honest answer is that we
+ * cannot tell, and saying "you would have been offered a place" would be
+ * inventing precision the inputs do not have.
+ */
+export const CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M = 100;
+
+export type CutoffVerdict = 'inside' | 'outside' | 'too-close' | 'unknown';
+
+export interface CutoffYearComparison {
+  year: number;
+  status: CutoffYearStatus;
+  verdict: CutoffVerdict;
+}
+
+export interface CutoffCheckResult {
+  /** Straight-line metres from the given postcode to the school. */
+  distanceM: number;
+  distanceLabel: string;
+  years: CutoffYearComparison[];
+  /** Years the home is clearly inside, out of those with a published figure. */
+  insideCount: number;
+  comparableCount: number;
+  headline: string;
+  detail: string;
+}
+
+export function compareToCutoffs(
+  distanceM: number,
+  rows: CutoffYearRow[],
+): CutoffCheckResult {
+  const years: CutoffYearComparison[] = rows.map((r) => {
+    if (r.status !== 'published' || r.distanceM == null) {
+      return { year: r.year, status: r.status, verdict: 'unknown' as const };
+    }
+    const margin = r.distanceM - distanceM;
+    const verdict: CutoffVerdict =
+      Math.abs(margin) <= CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M ? 'too-close' : margin > 0 ? 'inside' : 'outside';
+    return { year: r.year, status: r.status, verdict };
+  });
+
+  const comparable = years.filter((y) => y.verdict !== 'unknown');
+  const inside = comparable.filter((y) => y.verdict === 'inside');
+  const tooClose = comparable.filter((y) => y.verdict === 'too-close');
+  const label = formatCutoffDistance(distanceM)?.primary ?? `${Math.round(distanceM)} m`;
+
+  let headline: string;
+  if (comparable.length === 0) {
+    headline = `${label} from the school`;
+  } else if (inside.length === comparable.length) {
+    headline = `${label} away — inside the cut-off in all ${comparable.length} `
+      + `${comparable.length === 1 ? 'year' : 'years'} with a published figure`;
+  } else if (inside.length === 0 && tooClose.length === 0) {
+    headline = `${label} away — outside the cut-off in every year with a published figure`;
+  } else {
+    headline = `${label} away — inside the cut-off in ${inside.length} of `
+      + `${comparable.length} years with a published figure`;
+  }
+
+  const parts: string[] = [];
+  if (tooClose.length > 0) {
+    parts.push(
+      `${tooClose.length} ${tooClose.length === 1 ? 'year is' : 'years are'} too close to call: `
+      + 'your postcode is a centroid covering several addresses, so a margin under '
+      + `${CUTOFF_UNCERTAINTY_M} m is inside the measurement error.`,
+    );
+  }
+  const unknown = years.length - comparable.length;
+  if (unknown > 0) {
+    parts.push(`${unknown} ${unknown === 1 ? 'year has' : 'years have'} no published figure to compare against.`);
+  }
+
+  return {
+    distanceM,
+    distanceLabel: label,
+    years,
+    insideCount: inside.length,
+    comparableCount: comparable.length,
+    headline,
+    detail: parts.join(' '),
+  };
+}
+
+/**
+ * The limits of the check, stated where a parent will act on it.
+ *
+ * Every clause is load-bearing. Distance is the last criterion applied, not the
+ * first; the authority's own measurement may be a walking route rather than a
+ * straight line, which is always longer for the same home; and a past cut-off
+ * constrains next year's not at all.
+ */
+export const CUTOFF_CHECK_CAVEAT =
+  'An indication only. Places go first to children in care, EHCP places, '
+  + 'siblings and — at faith schools — on faith criteria, so a home inside the '
+  + 'distance can still miss out. Some authorities measure a walking route '
+  + 'rather than a straight line, which is always longer for the same home, and '
+  + "next year's cut-off depends on next year's applicants. Always check the "
+  + "school's own admissions policy.";
+
+/**
+ * The rings are a drawing of a number, not a boundary anyone administers.
+ *
+ * The walking-route caveat belongs to CUTOFF_CHECK_CAVEAT immediately below
+ * this on the page, which states it more usefully ("always longer for the same
+ * home"). Saying it in both places read as a stutter.
+ */
+export const CUTOFF_MAP_CAVEAT =
+  'Each ring is the straight-line cut-off for that year, drawn around the '
+  + 'school. It illustrates the distance — it is not a catchment boundary.';
+
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+// When there is no figure
+// ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+interface AbsenceInput {
+  localAuthority?: string | null;
+  admissionsPolicy?: string | null;
+  admissionsHistory?: AdmissionsYearLike[];
+}
+
+/**
+ * Why this school has no cut-off distance, in the most useful terms available.
+ *
+ * "No data" is the least informative thing we could say, and for two of these
+ * cases it is also the most pessimistic reading of a fact that is either
+ * neutral or good news. The order matters: a selective school's absence is
+ * explained by how it admits, which outranks anything the publication record
+ * says.
+ */
+export function describeCutoffAbsence({
+  localAuthority,
+  admissionsPolicy,
+  admissionsHistory = [],
+}: AbsenceInput): string {
+  const policy = (admissionsPolicy ?? '').toLowerCase();
+  if (policy.includes('selective')) {
+    return 'Places at this school are ranked by the entrance test rather than by '
+      + 'distance, so no cut-off distance applies.';
+  }
+
+  const known = admissionsHistory.filter((a) => a.oversubscribed != null);
+  if (known.length >= 3 && known.every((a) => a.oversubscribed === false)) {
+    return `First preferences have not exceeded places in any of the last ${known.length} `
+      + 'years, so this school has not needed a distance cut-off.';
+  }
+
+  return (localAuthority
+    ? `${localAuthority} has not published a cut-off distance for this school.`
+    : 'No cut-off distance has been published for this school.')
+    + ' Contact the admissions authority for its oversubscription criteria.';
+}
+
+/**
+ * A short note on how thin the record is.
+ *
+ * Four points is the same threshold the trend summary uses: below it the series
+ * is too short to carry a direction, and saying so is more useful than leaving
+ * the reader to count the rows.
+ */
+export function cutoffCoverageNote(rows: CutoffYearRow[]): string | null {
+  const published = rows.filter((r) => r.status === 'published').length;
+  if (published === 0 || published >= 4) return null;
+  return `Only ${published} ${published === 1 ? 'year has' : 'years have'} a published figure, `
+    + 'which is too few to read as a trend.';
+}

nextjs-app/components/school/schoolSections.module.css

@@ -2064,3 +2064,383 @@
   .secondaryScope .ofstedReportLink { margin-left: 0; display: block; margin-top: 0.25rem; }
   .secondaryScope .admissionsTypeBadge { font-size: 0.75rem; }
 }
+
+/* ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
+   Last distance offered — the Distance view, map and postcode check
+   ══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ */
+
+/* Visually hidden but still read aloud. The year strip encodes its verdict as
+   a glyph, so every chip carries a spelled-out equivalent here — a screen
+   reader announcing "2025 ✓" tells you nothing. */
+.srOnly {
+    position: absolute;
+    width: 1px;
+    height: 1px;
+    padding: 0;
+    margin: -1px;
+    overflow: hidden;
+    clip-path: inset(50%);
+    white-space: nowrap;
+    border: 0;
+}
+
+.cutoffChartKey {
+    margin: 0.6rem 0 0;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    line-height: 1.55;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    max-width: 68ch;
+}
+
+/* ── Year-by-year table ── */
+
+.cutoffTableWrap {
+    margin-top: 1.25rem;
+    overflow-x: auto;
+}
+
+.cutoffTable {
+    width: 100%;
+    border-collapse: collapse;
+    font-size: 0.875rem;
+    /* Below this the four columns crush; the wrapper scrolls instead of the
+       page, so the section itself never scrolls sideways. */
+    min-width: 26rem;
+    font-variant-numeric: tabular-nums;
+}
+
+.cutoffTable thead th {
+    text-align: right;
+    font-size: 0.6875rem;
+    font-weight: 600;
+    letter-spacing: 0.04em;
+    text-transform: uppercase;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    padding: 0 0.625rem 0.55rem;
+    border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border);
+    white-space: nowrap;
+}
+
+.cutoffTable thead th:first-child,
+.cutoffTable tbody th {
+    text-align: left;
+}
+
+.cutoffTable tbody td,
+.cutoffTable tbody th {
+    text-align: right;
+    padding: 0.65rem 0.625rem;
+    border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border);
+    font-weight: 400;
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+}
+
+.cutoffTable tbody th {
+    font-weight: 600;
+}
+
+.cutoffTable tbody tr:last-child td,
+.cutoffTable tbody tr:last-child th {
+    border-bottom: none;
+}
+
+.cutoffRowLatest td,
+.cutoffRowLatest th {
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffCellMissing {
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffRouteFlag {
+    font-size: 0.75rem;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    white-space: nowrap;
+}
+
+.cutoffPill {
+    display: inline-block;
+    font-size: 0.6875rem;
+    font-weight: 600;
+    padding: 0.15rem 0.55rem;
+    border-radius: 999px;
+    white-space: nowrap;
+}
+
+.cutoffPillOver {
+    background: var(--brand-bg);
+    color: var(--brand-strong);
+}
+
+.cutoffPillOk {
+    background: var(--status-above-bg);
+    color: var(--status-above);
+}
+
+.cutoffPillNa {
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+/* ── Map panel ── */
+
+.cutoffMapPanel {
+    margin-top: 1.75rem;
+    padding-top: 1.5rem;
+    border-top: 1px solid var(--border);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapTitle {
+    margin: 0 0 0.85rem;
+    font-family: var(--font-display);
+    font-size: 1.1rem;
+    font-weight: 700;
+    letter-spacing: -0.01em;
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapFigure {
+    height: 320px;
+    border-radius: var(--radius-md);
+    overflow: hidden;
+    border: 1px solid var(--border);
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapSkeleton {
+    width: 100%;
+    height: 100%;
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapLegend {
+    list-style: none;
+    margin: 0.85rem 0 0;
+    padding: 0;
+    display: flex;
+    flex-wrap: wrap;
+    gap: 0.5rem 1.25rem;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapLegend li {
+    display: inline-flex;
+    align-items: center;
+    gap: 0.45rem;
+}
+
+.cutoffSwatch {
+    width: 14px;
+    height: 14px;
+    border-radius: 50%;
+    flex: none;
+}
+
+.cutoffSwatchNow {
+    background: var(--brand-bg);
+    box-shadow: inset 0 0 0 2px var(--brand);
+}
+
+.cutoffSwatchPast {
+    background: transparent;
+    box-shadow: inset 0 0 0 1.5px var(--brand);
+    opacity: 0.5;
+}
+
+.cutoffSwatchHome {
+    width: 11px;
+    height: 11px;
+    border-radius: 2px;
+    background: var(--status-above);
+    transform: rotate(45deg);
+}
+
+.cutoffMapCaveat {
+    margin: 0.75rem 0 0;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    line-height: 1.55;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    max-width: 68ch;
+}
+
+/* ── Postcode check ── */
+
+.cutoffCheck {
+    margin-top: 1.5rem;
+    padding-top: 1.25rem;
+    border-top: 1px solid var(--border);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckTitle {
+    margin: 0 0 0.25rem;
+    font-family: var(--font-display);
+    font-size: 1rem;
+    font-weight: 700;
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckSub {
+    margin: 0 0 0.85rem;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    line-height: 1.55;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    max-width: 62ch;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckForm {
+    display: flex;
+    gap: 0.5rem;
+    flex-wrap: wrap;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckInput {
+    font: inherit;
+    font-size: 1rem;
+    padding: 0.6rem 0.8rem;
+    border: 1px solid var(--border);
+    border-radius: var(--radius-md);
+    background: var(--bg-card);
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+    text-transform: uppercase;
+    /* Grows into the row but never past it — at 320px a fixed width would push
+       the button out of the viewport. */
+    flex: 1 1 9rem;
+    /* Stops well short of full width on desktop, where a postcode field
+       spanning the whole card reads as a search box. */
+    max-width: 16rem;
+    min-width: 0;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckInput::placeholder {
+    text-transform: none;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckInput:focus-visible {
+    outline: 2px solid var(--brand);
+    outline-offset: 1px;
+    border-color: var(--brand);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckButton {
+    font: inherit;
+    font-weight: 600;
+    font-size: 1rem;
+    padding: 0.6rem 1.25rem;
+    border: none;
+    border-radius: var(--radius-md);
+    background: var(--brand);
+    color: var(--brand-on);
+    cursor: pointer;
+    flex: none;
+    transition: background var(--transition);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckButton:hover:not(:disabled) {
+    background: var(--brand-strong);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckButton:disabled {
+    opacity: 0.65;
+    cursor: progress;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckButton:focus-visible {
+    outline: 2px solid var(--brand);
+    outline-offset: 2px;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckError {
+    margin: 0.75rem 0 0;
+    font-size: 0.875rem;
+    color: var(--status-below);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckResult {
+    margin-top: 0.9rem;
+    padding: 0.9rem 1rem;
+    border-radius: var(--radius-md);
+    background-color: var(--bg-card);
+    background-image: linear-gradient(var(--brand-bg), var(--brand-bg));
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckHeadline {
+    margin: 0;
+    font-family: var(--font-display);
+    font-size: 1.05rem;
+    font-weight: 700;
+    line-height: 1.35;
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+    text-wrap: balance;
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckDetail {
+    margin: 0.35rem 0 0;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    line-height: 1.55;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffYearStrip {
+    list-style: none;
+    margin: 0.75rem 0 0;
+    padding: 0;
+    display: flex;
+    flex-wrap: wrap;
+    gap: 0.3rem;
+}
+
+.cutoffYearChip {
+    display: inline-flex;
+    align-items: center;
+    gap: 0.3rem;
+    font-size: 0.75rem;
+    font-weight: 600;
+    padding: 0.2rem 0.5rem;
+    border-radius: 999px;
+    font-variant-numeric: tabular-nums;
+    white-space: nowrap;
+}
+
+.cutoffYearChipYear {
+    font-weight: 700;
+}
+
+.cutoffYearInside {
+    background: var(--status-above-bg);
+    color: var(--status-above);
+}
+
+.cutoffYearOutside {
+    background: var(--status-below-bg);
+    color: var(--status-below);
+}
+
+/* Deliberately neutral rather than a warning colour: "we cannot tell" is not a
+   bad outcome, and tinting it amber would read as one. */
+.cutoffYearTooClose {
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+    color: var(--text-primary);
+    box-shadow: inset 0 0 0 1px var(--border);
+}
+
+.cutoffYearUnknown {
+    background: var(--bg-secondary);
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+}
+
+.cutoffCheckCaveat {
+    margin: 0.9rem 0 0;
+    font-size: 0.8125rem;
+    line-height: 1.55;
+    color: var(--text-secondary);
+    max-width: 68ch;
+}
+
+@media (max-width: 640px) {
+    .cutoffMapFigure {
+        height: 260px;
+    }
+}

nextjs-app/lib/types.ts

@@ -356,6 +356,12 @@ export interface SchoolDetailsResponse {
   admissions_history: SchoolAdmissions[];
   /** Latest published cut-off distance, or null where the LA publishes none. */
   admission_distance: SchoolAdmissionDistance | null;
+  /**
+   * Every published cut-off year, oldest first. Sparse by nature — a school may
+   * have 2021 and 2026 and nothing between, so consumers must classify the
+   * missing years rather than joining the points they do have.
+   */
+  admission_distance_history: SchoolAdmissionDistance[];
   deprivation: SchoolDeprivation | null;
   finance: SchoolFinance | null;
 }