feat(compare): trends explorer with England line; gap-honest axis; series regression guard
Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0146VHeLAWjDVE2B5uU67jCB
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.explore {
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margin-top: 1rem;
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}
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.explore summary {
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cursor: pointer;
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font-weight: 600;
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color: var(--accent-coral-dark);
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padding: 0.85rem 1.1rem;
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background: var(--bg-card);
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border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
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border-radius: 8px;
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}
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.explore[open] summary {
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border-radius: 8px 8px 0 0;
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}
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.inner {
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border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
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border-top: none;
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border-radius: 0 0 8px 8px;
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background: var(--bg-card);
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padding: 1.25rem 1.5rem;
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}
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.picker {
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display: flex;
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align-items: center;
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gap: 0.6rem;
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margin-bottom: 1rem;
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flex-wrap: wrap;
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}
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.picker label {
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font-size: 0.85rem;
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font-weight: 600;
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color: var(--text-secondary);
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}
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.picker select {
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font-family: inherit;
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font-size: 0.9rem;
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padding: 0.4rem 0.6rem;
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border-radius: 8px;
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border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
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background: var(--bg-card);
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color: var(--text-primary);
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max-width: 100%;
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}
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.desc {
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font-size: 0.78rem;
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color: var(--text-muted);
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}
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.progressNote {
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font-size: 0.8rem;
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color: var(--text-muted);
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margin: 0 0 1rem;
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}
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.chartBox {
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min-height: 320px;
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}
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.tableWrapper {
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overflow-x: auto;
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margin-top: 1.5rem;
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}
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.table {
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width: 100%;
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border-collapse: collapse;
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font-size: 0.9rem;
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}
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.table th,
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.table td {
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text-align: left;
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padding: 0.6rem 0.75rem;
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border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border-light);
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}
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.table th {
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background: var(--bg-secondary);
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font-size: 0.8rem;
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text-transform: uppercase;
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letter-spacing: 0.03em;
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color: var(--text-secondary);
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}
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.yearCell {
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font-weight: 600;
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white-space: nowrap;
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}
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/**
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* Explore trends — the full grouped metric catalogue (nothing from the old
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* compare page is lost; spec §4's tier 3) driving the year-by-year chart
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* with its England reference line, plus the year-by-year table. Progress
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* metrics carry CI-based bands for the years DfE published them.
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*/
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'use client';
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import { useState } from 'react';
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import dynamic from 'next/dynamic';
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import { progressBand } from '@/lib/compareLogic';
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import type { ComparisonData, MetricDefinition, NationalAverages, School } from '@/lib/types';
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import { formatAcademicYear, formatMetricValue, metricKind } from '@/lib/utils';
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import { track } from '@/lib/analytics';
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import { Chip, Section, sectionStyles as s } from './sectionShared';
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import styles from './TrendsExplorer.module.css';
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const ComparisonChart = dynamic(
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() => import('../ComparisonChart').then((m) => m.ComparisonChart),
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{ ssr: false },
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);
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const PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS: { label: string; category: string }[] = [
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{ label: 'Expected Standard', category: 'expected' },
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{ label: 'Higher Standard', category: 'higher' },
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{ label: 'Progress Scores', category: 'progress' },
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{ label: 'Average Scores', category: 'average' },
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{ label: 'Gender Performance', category: 'gender' },
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{ label: 'Equity (Disadvantaged)', category: 'equity' },
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{ label: 'School Context', category: 'context' },
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{ label: 'Absence', category: 'absence' },
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{ label: '3-Year Trends', category: 'trends' },
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];
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const SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS: { label: string; category: string }[] = [
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{ label: 'GCSE Performance', category: 'gcse' },
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];
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export const PRIMARY_CATEGORIES = PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS.map((g) => g.category);
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export const SECONDARY_CATEGORIES = SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS.map((g) => g.category);
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const PROGRESS_CI: Record<string, [string, string]> = {
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reading_progress: ['reading_progress_lower_ci', 'reading_progress_upper_ci'],
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writing_progress: ['writing_progress_lower_ci', 'writing_progress_upper_ci'],
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maths_progress: ['maths_progress_lower_ci', 'maths_progress_upper_ci'],
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};
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const BAND_LABEL = { above: 'Above average', average: 'Average', below: 'Below average' } as const;
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export function TrendsExplorer({
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schools,
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data,
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metrics,
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initialMetric,
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isPrimaryPhase,
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nationalAverages,
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}: {
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schools: School[];
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data: Record<string, ComparisonData>;
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metrics: MetricDefinition[];
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initialMetric: string;
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isPrimaryPhase: boolean;
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nationalAverages?: NationalAverages;
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}) {
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const [metric, setMetric] = useState(initialMetric);
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const allowedCategories = isPrimaryPhase ? PRIMARY_CATEGORIES : SECONDARY_CATEGORIES;
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const optgroups = isPrimaryPhase ? PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS : SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS;
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const filteredMetrics = metrics.filter((m) => allowedCategories.includes(m.category));
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const metricDef = metrics.find((m) => m.key === metric);
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const metricLabel = metricDef?.label || metric;
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const nationalByYear: Record<number, number | null> = {};
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for (const entry of nationalAverages?.by_year ?? []) {
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const block = isPrimaryPhase ? entry.primary : entry.secondary;
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nationalByYear[entry.year] = block?.[metric] ?? null;
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}
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const years = [
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...new Set(
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schools.flatMap(
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(school) => data[String(school.urn)]?.yearly_data.map((d) => Math.trunc(d.year)) ?? [],
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),
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),
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].sort((a, b) => a - b);
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const handleMetricChange = (next: string) => {
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track('compare_metric_changed', { metric: next, phase: isPrimaryPhase ? 'primary' : 'secondary' });
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setMetric(next);
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};
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const ciKeys = PROGRESS_CI[metric];
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return (
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<Section
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title="Explore trends"
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how="The full year-by-year explorer for any measure, with the England average as a dashed reference line where official figures exist."
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>
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<details className={styles.explore} open>
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<summary>Year-by-year trends</summary>
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<div className={styles.inner}>
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<div className={styles.picker}>
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<label htmlFor="trends-metric-select">Measure:</label>
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<select
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id="trends-metric-select"
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value={metric}
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onChange={(e) => handleMetricChange(e.target.value)}
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>
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{optgroups.map(({ label, category }) => {
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const group = filteredMetrics.filter((m) => m.category === category);
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if (group.length === 0) return null;
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return (
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<optgroup key={category} label={label}>
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{group.map((m) => (
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<option key={m.key} value={m.key}>
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{m.label}
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</option>
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))}
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</optgroup>
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);
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})}
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</select>
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{metricDef?.description && <span className={styles.desc}>{metricDef.description}</span>}
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</div>
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{metric.includes('progress') && (
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<p className={styles.progressNote}>
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Progress scores measure pupils' progress from KS1 to KS2. A score of 0 equals the
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national average. DfE stopped publishing KS2 progress after 2022/23 (no KS1 baseline);
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bands use DfE's confidence intervals, not the raw score alone.
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</p>
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)}
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<div className={styles.chartBox}>
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<ComparisonChart
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comparisonData={data}
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schools={schools}
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metric={metric}
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metricLabel={metricLabel}
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nationalByYear={nationalByYear}
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/>
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</div>
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{years.length > 0 && (
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<div className={styles.tableWrapper}>
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<table className={styles.table}>
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<thead>
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<tr>
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<th>Year</th>
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{schools.map((school) => (
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<th key={school.urn}>{school.school_name}</th>
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))}
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</tr>
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</thead>
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<tbody>
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{years.map((year) => (
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<tr key={year}>
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<td className={styles.yearCell}>{formatAcademicYear(year)}</td>
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{schools.map((school) => {
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const row = data[String(school.urn)]?.yearly_data.find(
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(d) => Math.trunc(d.year) === year,
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) as (Record<string, unknown> & { year: number }) | undefined;
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const value = row?.[metric];
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if (typeof value !== 'number') return <td key={school.urn}>–</td>;
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const band = ciKeys
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? progressBand(
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value,
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(row?.[ciKeys[0]] as number | null) ?? null,
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(row?.[ciKeys[1]] as number | null) ?? null,
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)
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: null;
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return (
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<td key={school.urn}>
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{formatMetricValue(value, metricKind(metric))}{' '}
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{band && (
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<Chip tone={band === 'above' ? 'good' : band === 'below' ? 'warn' : 'neutral'}>
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{BAND_LABEL[band]}
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</Chip>
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)}
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</td>
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);
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})}
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</tr>
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))}
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</tbody>
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</table>
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</div>
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)}
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</div>
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</details>
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</Section>
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);
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}
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