feat(compare): trends explorer with England line; gap-honest axis; series regression guard

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_0146VHeLAWjDVE2B5uU67jCB
This commit is contained in:
Tudor
2026-07-13 23:54:58 +01:00
co-authored by Claude Fable 5
parent 2573cd2490
commit 519584f34b
6 changed files with 523 additions and 16 deletions
@@ -0,0 +1,96 @@
.explore {
margin-top: 1rem;
}
.explore summary {
cursor: pointer;
font-weight: 600;
color: var(--accent-coral-dark);
padding: 0.85rem 1.1rem;
background: var(--bg-card);
border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
border-radius: 8px;
}
.explore[open] summary {
border-radius: 8px 8px 0 0;
}
.inner {
border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
border-top: none;
border-radius: 0 0 8px 8px;
background: var(--bg-card);
padding: 1.25rem 1.5rem;
}
.picker {
display: flex;
align-items: center;
gap: 0.6rem;
margin-bottom: 1rem;
flex-wrap: wrap;
}
.picker label {
font-size: 0.85rem;
font-weight: 600;
color: var(--text-secondary);
}
.picker select {
font-family: inherit;
font-size: 0.9rem;
padding: 0.4rem 0.6rem;
border-radius: 8px;
border: 1px solid var(--border-light);
background: var(--bg-card);
color: var(--text-primary);
max-width: 100%;
}
.desc {
font-size: 0.78rem;
color: var(--text-muted);
}
.progressNote {
font-size: 0.8rem;
color: var(--text-muted);
margin: 0 0 1rem;
}
.chartBox {
min-height: 320px;
}
.tableWrapper {
overflow-x: auto;
margin-top: 1.5rem;
}
.table {
width: 100%;
border-collapse: collapse;
font-size: 0.9rem;
}
.table th,
.table td {
text-align: left;
padding: 0.6rem 0.75rem;
border-bottom: 1px solid var(--border-light);
}
.table th {
background: var(--bg-secondary);
font-size: 0.8rem;
text-transform: uppercase;
letter-spacing: 0.03em;
color: var(--text-secondary);
}
.yearCell {
font-weight: 600;
white-space: nowrap;
}
@@ -0,0 +1,195 @@
/**
* Explore trends — the full grouped metric catalogue (nothing from the old
* compare page is lost; spec §4's tier 3) driving the year-by-year chart
* with its England reference line, plus the year-by-year table. Progress
* metrics carry CI-based bands for the years DfE published them.
*/
'use client';
import { useState } from 'react';
import dynamic from 'next/dynamic';
import { progressBand } from '@/lib/compareLogic';
import type { ComparisonData, MetricDefinition, NationalAverages, School } from '@/lib/types';
import { formatAcademicYear, formatMetricValue, metricKind } from '@/lib/utils';
import { track } from '@/lib/analytics';
import { Chip, Section, sectionStyles as s } from './sectionShared';
import styles from './TrendsExplorer.module.css';
const ComparisonChart = dynamic(
() => import('../ComparisonChart').then((m) => m.ComparisonChart),
{ ssr: false },
);
const PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS: { label: string; category: string }[] = [
{ label: 'Expected Standard', category: 'expected' },
{ label: 'Higher Standard', category: 'higher' },
{ label: 'Progress Scores', category: 'progress' },
{ label: 'Average Scores', category: 'average' },
{ label: 'Gender Performance', category: 'gender' },
{ label: 'Equity (Disadvantaged)', category: 'equity' },
{ label: 'School Context', category: 'context' },
{ label: 'Absence', category: 'absence' },
{ label: '3-Year Trends', category: 'trends' },
];
const SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS: { label: string; category: string }[] = [
{ label: 'GCSE Performance', category: 'gcse' },
];
export const PRIMARY_CATEGORIES = PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS.map((g) => g.category);
export const SECONDARY_CATEGORIES = SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS.map((g) => g.category);
const PROGRESS_CI: Record<string, [string, string]> = {
reading_progress: ['reading_progress_lower_ci', 'reading_progress_upper_ci'],
writing_progress: ['writing_progress_lower_ci', 'writing_progress_upper_ci'],
maths_progress: ['maths_progress_lower_ci', 'maths_progress_upper_ci'],
};
const BAND_LABEL = { above: 'Above average', average: 'Average', below: 'Below average' } as const;
export function TrendsExplorer({
schools,
data,
metrics,
initialMetric,
isPrimaryPhase,
nationalAverages,
}: {
schools: School[];
data: Record<string, ComparisonData>;
metrics: MetricDefinition[];
initialMetric: string;
isPrimaryPhase: boolean;
nationalAverages?: NationalAverages;
}) {
const [metric, setMetric] = useState(initialMetric);
const allowedCategories = isPrimaryPhase ? PRIMARY_CATEGORIES : SECONDARY_CATEGORIES;
const optgroups = isPrimaryPhase ? PRIMARY_OPTGROUPS : SECONDARY_OPTGROUPS;
const filteredMetrics = metrics.filter((m) => allowedCategories.includes(m.category));
const metricDef = metrics.find((m) => m.key === metric);
const metricLabel = metricDef?.label || metric;
const nationalByYear: Record<number, number | null> = {};
for (const entry of nationalAverages?.by_year ?? []) {
const block = isPrimaryPhase ? entry.primary : entry.secondary;
nationalByYear[entry.year] = block?.[metric] ?? null;
}
const years = [
...new Set(
schools.flatMap(
(school) => data[String(school.urn)]?.yearly_data.map((d) => Math.trunc(d.year)) ?? [],
),
),
].sort((a, b) => a - b);
const handleMetricChange = (next: string) => {
track('compare_metric_changed', { metric: next, phase: isPrimaryPhase ? 'primary' : 'secondary' });
setMetric(next);
};
const ciKeys = PROGRESS_CI[metric];
return (
<Section
title="Explore trends"
how="The full year-by-year explorer for any measure, with the England average as a dashed reference line where official figures exist."
>
<details className={styles.explore} open>
<summary>Year-by-year trends</summary>
<div className={styles.inner}>
<div className={styles.picker}>
<label htmlFor="trends-metric-select">Measure:</label>
<select
id="trends-metric-select"
value={metric}
onChange={(e) => handleMetricChange(e.target.value)}
>
{optgroups.map(({ label, category }) => {
const group = filteredMetrics.filter((m) => m.category === category);
if (group.length === 0) return null;
return (
<optgroup key={category} label={label}>
{group.map((m) => (
<option key={m.key} value={m.key}>
{m.label}
</option>
))}
</optgroup>
);
})}
</select>
{metricDef?.description && <span className={styles.desc}>{metricDef.description}</span>}
</div>
{metric.includes('progress') && (
<p className={styles.progressNote}>
Progress scores measure pupils&apos; progress from KS1 to KS2. A score of 0 equals the
national average. DfE stopped publishing KS2 progress after 2022/23 (no KS1 baseline);
bands use DfE&apos;s confidence intervals, not the raw score alone.
</p>
)}
<div className={styles.chartBox}>
<ComparisonChart
comparisonData={data}
schools={schools}
metric={metric}
metricLabel={metricLabel}
nationalByYear={nationalByYear}
/>
</div>
{years.length > 0 && (
<div className={styles.tableWrapper}>
<table className={styles.table}>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
{schools.map((school) => (
<th key={school.urn}>{school.school_name}</th>
))}
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
{years.map((year) => (
<tr key={year}>
<td className={styles.yearCell}>{formatAcademicYear(year)}</td>
{schools.map((school) => {
const row = data[String(school.urn)]?.yearly_data.find(
(d) => Math.trunc(d.year) === year,
) as (Record<string, unknown> & { year: number }) | undefined;
const value = row?.[metric];
if (typeof value !== 'number') return <td key={school.urn}></td>;
const band = ciKeys
? progressBand(
value,
(row?.[ciKeys[0]] as number | null) ?? null,
(row?.[ciKeys[1]] as number | null) ?? null,
)
: null;
return (
<td key={school.urn}>
{formatMetricValue(value, metricKind(metric))}{' '}
{band && (
<Chip tone={band === 'above' ? 'good' : band === 'below' ? 'warn' : 'neutral'}>
{BAND_LABEL[band]}
</Chip>
)}
</td>
);
})}
</tr>
))}
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
)}
</div>
</details>
</Section>
);
}